Visual Impairment and Blindness Due to Macular Diseases Globally: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis




Purpose


To estimate the number of people visually impaired or blind due to macular diseases except those caused by diabetic maculopathy.


Design


Meta-analysis.


Methods


Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 and ongoing literature research, we examined how many people were affected by vision impairment (presenting visual acuity <6/18, ≥3/60) and blindness (presenting visual acuity <3/60) due to macular diseases, with diabetic maculopathy excluded.


Results


In 2010, of 32.4 million blind people and 191 million vision-impaired people, 2.1 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 1.9, 2.7) people were blind, and 6.0 million (95% UI: 5.2, 8.1) million were visually impaired due to macular diseases. In 2010, macular diseases caused 6.6% (95% UI: 6.0, 7.9) of all blindness and 3.1% (95% UI: 2.7, 4.0) of all vision impairment, worldwide. These figures were lower in regions with young populations than in high-income regions. Between 1990 and 2010, the number of people who were blind or visually impaired due to macular diseases increased by 36%, or 0.6 million people (95% UI: 0.5, 0.8) and by 81%, or 2.7 million (95% UI: 2.6, 3.9) people, respectively, whereas the global population increased by 30%. Age-standardized global prevalence of macula-related blindness and vision impairment in adults 50 years of age and older decreased from 0.2% (95% UI: 0.2, 0.2) in 1990 to 0.1% (95% UI: 0.1, 0.2) in 2010 and remained unchanged from 0.4% (95% UI: 0.3, 0.5) to 0.4% (95% UI: 0.4, 0.6), respectively.


Conclusions


In 2010, 2.1 million people were blind and 6.0 million people were visually impaired due to macular diseases, except those caused by diabetic maculopathy. Of every 15 blind people, 1 was blind due to macular disease, and of every 32 visually impaired people, 1 was visually impaired due to macular disease.


Macular diseases, in particular, age-related macular degeneration, have profoundly increased in importance in public health, because of generally aging populations, and in clinics, because of the development of new treatments. In particular, large randomized controlled trials have shown the efficacy of intravitreal antivascular endothelial growth factor drugs against exudative age-related macular degeneration and myopic maculopathy. Population-based studies performed in all regions worldwide and meta-analyses of these studies have revealed that macular diseases, in particular age-related macular degeneration, are a major cause of vision loss in elderly people, with a steep increase in prevalence beyond the age of 75 years. It has been estimated that age-related macular degeneration alone is responsible for 8.7% of all global blindness and that it is the most common cause of blindness in developed countries, particularly in elderly people older than 60 years of age. However, previous studies had some limitations. For example, these estimations were based on meta-analyses that did not include studies from all regions of the world, did not comprise all available population-based studies, did not assess changes during the past 2 decades, and did not report the number of people blind or visually impaired due to macular diseases. For public health purposes, however, the number of patients functionally affected is more important than the number of patients with any stage of the disease because the burden of a disease as compared to the presence of a disease is of particular importance for the individual patient and for the society in general.


As part of the Global Burden of Disease Study, we conducted this meta-analysis of all available population-based studies performed worldwide within the past 2 decades and assessed the number of people affected by blindness and moderate to severe visual impairment due to macular diseases except macular changes due to diabetic retinopathy. We evaluated changes in that figure during the period from 1990 to 2010, examined regional differences in the prevalence of blindness and moderate and severe vision impairment related to macular diseases, and finally compared the number of people blind and visually impaired due to macular diseases with the number of people blind and visually impaired due to other diseases.


Methods


We systematically reviewed articles published between January 1980 and January 2012, we primarily identified 14 908 relevant manuscripts out of which 243 articles of high-quality, population-based studies remained after application of rigorous selection criteria and review by an expert panel. The study was approved by the ethics committee II of the Medical Faculty Mannheim of the University of Heidelberg. We used MEDLINE, Embase and the World Health Organization library information system. We found additional unpublished data sources through personal communication with researchers identified in the literature search. The method applied in our study has been described in detail recently. Of the 243 high-quality population-based studies, 128 studies reported prevalence of blindness and moderate and severe visual impairment disaggregated by cause. These formed the database for calculating the proportion of blindness and moderate and severe visual impairment that was due to macular diseases. Macular diseases were defined as any disorder of the macula or posterior pole, except macular changes due to diabetic retinopathy. It included such disorders as age-related macular degeneration, myopic maculopathy and macular holes. A full list of data sources used for macular diseases and other causes of blindness and moderate and severe visual impairment has been presented recently. At least 2 studies were identified for 18 of 21 Global Burden of Disease Study regions, but there were no studies with cause-specific data identified in 2 of the regions (central Africa and east Europe), and only 1 study was identified for central Europe. No study reporting prevalence separated by cause was identified for 126 of 191 countries. Blindness was defined as presenting visual acuity less than 3/60 in the better eye, and moderate to severe visual impairmentwas defined as visual acuity in the better eye lower than 6/18 but at least 3/60 at presentation.


As also described in detail previously, we estimated trends in causes of vision impairment, including analysis of uncertainties by age, gender and geographic region in 21 regions as defined by the Global Burden of Disease Study. The statistical analysis was performed in 3 steps. The first step included the data identification and access; the second step consisted of the estimation of fractions for each cause, stratified by the severity of vision impairment, gender, age, and region; and the third step included the application of cause fractions to the prevalence of all-cause presenting vision impairment, which has been assessed previously. For the statistical analysis, the DisMod-MR model from the Global Burden of Disease was used to calculate the fraction of moderate to severe visual impairment due to macular diseases. It has been described in detail recently. Briefly, DisMod-MR is a negative binomial regression model that includes the following elements: covariates that predict variation in the true proportion of moderate to severe visual impairment caused by each disease (eg, year); fixed effects that adjust for definitional differences (eg, whether the causes of presenting vs best-corrected moderate to severe visual impairment were reported); a hierarchical model structure that fits random intercepts in individual countries derived from the data observed in the country, in its region and in other regions, based on the availability and consistency of country- and region-specific data; age-specific fixed-effects allowing for a nonlinear age pattern; and a fixed effect for data on males. For the assessment of the fractions of blindness and moderate to severe visual impairment due to macular diseases, we fit one DisMod-MR model using 3 covariates: an indicator variable describing whether the data were for blindness or for vision impairment; an indicator variable describing whether the data were based on presenting visual acuity or best-corrected visual acuity measurements; and a country-level covariate reflecting health-systems access. We made 2 sets of the prediction for macular diseases, 1 for best-corrected blindness and 1 for best-corrected vision impairment. For the presentation of the data, we age-standardized prevalences using the World Health Organization reference population. We also calculated the numbers of people with moderate to severe visual impairment and blindness due to macular diseases, which reflected each region’s population size and age structure.




Results


Of 32.4 million people who were blind and 191 million people who were vision impaired in 2010, 2.1 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 1.9, 2.7) people were blind, and 6.0 million (95% UI: 5.2, 8.1) million were visually impaired due to macular diseases, worldwide ( Table 1 ).



Table 1

Number of People (Mean, 95% Uncertainty Interval) Blind (Presenting Visual Acuity <3/60) or Visually Impaired (Presenting Visual Acuity <6/18, ≥3/60) Due to Macular Diseases (Except Those of Diabetic Maculopathy) and the Age-Standardized Prevalences (Mean, 95% Uncertainty Interval) in Various World Regions in 2010






















































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































World Region Blindness/Moderate to Severe Vision Impairment Total Population 2010 Number of People Affected in 2010 Age-Standardized Prevalence in People Aged 50+ Years in 2010 Proportion of Blindness/Visual Impairment by Macular Diseases in 2010
Mean Value Lower Value Upper Value Mean Value Lower Value Upper Value
World Blind 6 890 000 000 2 135 900 1 874 080 2 652 650 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 6.6 (6.0, 7.9)
Asia Pacific, high income Blind 169 000 000 68 808 34 615 133 321 0.10% 0.00% 0.10% 19.5 (12.3, 28.8)
Asia, central Blind 68 800 000 17 946 12 037 29 639 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 13.3 (9.4, 18.1)
Asia, east Blind 1 190 000 000 363 866 227 258 611 335 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 6.9 (4.5, 11.0)
Asia, south Blind 1 120 000 000 270 230 172 783 451 290 0.10% 0.10% 0.30% 2.6 (1.7, 4.2)
Asia, southeast Blind 460 000 000 205 091 148 128 301 749 0.20% 0.20% 0.40% 5.9 (4.7, 8.3)
Australasia Blind 20 500 000 6 798 3668 18 919 0.10% 0.00% 0.20% 17.7 (11.1, 26.3)
Caribbean Blind 34 300 000 12 052 7889 18 191 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 6.1 (4.3, 8.9)
Europe, central Blind 122 000 000 50 473 34 339 104 998 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 15.4 (10.9, 20.8)
Europe, east Blind 222 000 000 97 783 44 030 183 929 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 16.6 (10.1, 25.1)
Europe, west Blind 381 000 000 153 855 104 094 248 279 0.10% 0.00% 0.10% 16.1 (12.5, 20.1)
Latin America, Andean Blind 38 600 000 12 170 6818 20 579 0.10% 0.10% 0.30% 6.2 (4.1, 9.2)
Latin America, central Blind 166 000 000 61 650 40 193 96 914 0.20% 0.10% 0.30% 6.8 (4.9, 9.9)
Latin America, south Blind 48 900 000 44 020 29 376 71 964 0.20% 0.20% 0.40% 19.5 (13.2, 26.8)
Latin America, tropical Blind 154 000 000 72 557 39 743 147 788 0.20% 0.10% 0.40% 9.1 (5.7, 13.3)
North Africa/Middle East Blind 301 000 000 320 335 216 494 468 902 0.60% 0.40% 0.90% 10.3 (7.8, 13.6)
North America, High Income Blind 281 000 000 77 690 44 574 131 585 0.00% 0.00% 0.10% 16.4 (10.8, 23.4)
Oceania Blind 5 814 186 1505 819 2766 0.20% 0.10% 0.40% 4.6 (3.1, 7.6)
Sub-Saharan Africa, central Blind 53 400 000 19 499 9712 42 318 0.30% 0.20% 0.70% 6.9 (4.7, 11.0)
Sub-Saharan Africa, east Blind 208 000 000 120 884 83 741 170 573 0.50% 0.30% 0.70% 5.8 (4.6, 7.7)
Sub-Saharan Africa, south Blind 52 600 000 29 100 14 092 45 385 0.40% 0.20% 0.60% 9.7 (6.7, 14.1)
Sub-Saharan Africa, west Blind 201 000 000 131 012 91 407 183 939 0.60% 0.40% 0.80% 6.2 (4.8, 8.4)
World MSVI 6 890 000 000 5 994 300 5 174 390 8 123 310 0.40% 0.40% 0.60% 3.1 (2.7, 4.0)
Asia Pacific, high income MSVI 169 000 000 116 405 63 028 436 778 0.10% 0.10% 0.40% 6.0 (3.8, 9.8)
Asia, central MSVI 68 800 000 58 672 35 531 125 122 0.50% 0.30% 1.00% 5.0 (3.5, 7.5)
Asia, east MSVI 1 190 000 000 1 744 733 1 038 766 2 775 881 0.60% 0.30% 0.90% 5.2 (3.3, 8.0)
Asia, south MSVI 1 120 000 000 705 446 447 089 1 266 346 0.30% 0.20% 0.60% 0.98 (0.65, 1.6)
Asia, southeast MSVI 460 000 000 334 853 213 902 675 460 0.40% 0.20% 0.80% 1.8 (1.3, 2.7)
Australasia MSVI 20 500 000 36 571 15 682 97 066 0.30% 0.10% 0.90% 8.0 (5.1, 12.6)
Caribbean MSVI 34 300 000 14 716 8 741 25 315 0.20% 0.10% 0.30% 1.2 (0.90, 1.9)
Europe, central MSVI 122 000 000 246 285 129 283 518 097 0.50% 0.30% 1.10% 7.4 (5.2, 11.0)
Europe, east MSVI 222 000 000 398 568 175 847 820 277 0.50% 0.20% 1.00% 6.8 (4.0, 10.9)
Europe, west MSVI 381 000 000 402 828 272 912 734 163 0.20% 0.10% 0.30% 5.4 (4.1, 7.5)
Latin America, Andean MSVI 38 600 000 42 917 25 322 73 210 0.50% 0.30% 0.90% 3.1 (2.0, 5.1)
Latin America, central MSVI 166 000 000 161 750 100 899 258 897 0.40% 0.30% 0.70% 3.2 (2.2, 5.0)
Latin America, south MSVI 48 900 000 114 983 68 485 245 231 0.60% 0.40% 1.40% 7.2 (4.5, 11.5)
Latin America, tropical MSVI 154 000 000 291 453 162 394 500 368 0.70% 0.40% 1.30% 6.0 (3.7, 9.2)
North Africa/Middle East MSVI 301 000 000 558 470 385 992 890 307 1.00% 0.70% 1.60% 4.1 (3.0, 6.2)
North America, high income MSVI 281 000 000 169 367 111 781 349 536 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 5.5 (3.5, 8.0)
Oceania MSVI 5 814 186 6642 3085 11 974 0.90% 0.40% 1.60% 2.7 (1.7, 4.8)
Sub-Saharan Africa, central MSVI 53 400 000 49 922 25 693 116 494 0.80% 0.40% 1.70% 3.6 (2.1, 6.2)
Sub-Saharan Africa, east MSVI 208 000 000 283 239 194 996 420 362 1.00% 0.70% 1.50% 4.0 (3.0, 5.5)
Sub-Saharan Africa, south MSVI 52 600 000 45 002 25 208 91 961 0.60% 0.30% 1.10% 4.8 (2.8, 7.7)
Sub-Saharan Africa, west MSVI 201 000 000 208 749 150 669 341 386 0.80% 0.60% 1.30% 2.9 (2.0, 4.3)

MSVI = moderate to severe vision impairment.


Between 1990 and 2010, the number of people blind due to macular diseases increased by 0.6 million people, or 36%, and the number of visually impaired people by 2.7 million people, or 81%. During the same period the global population increased by 30% ( Table 1 , Table 2 ). For people 50 years of age or older, the number of those blind due to macular diseases increased by 31%, from 1.6 million in 1990 to 2.1 million in 2010. The number of people with moderate to severe visual impairment related to macular diseases increased by 62%, from 3.3 million in 1990 to 6.0 million in 2010. In the same period, the world population older than 50 years of age increased by 60%.



Table 2

Number of People (Mean, 95% Uncertainty Interval) Blind (Presenting Visual Acuity <3/60) or Visually Impaired (MSVI) (Presenting Visual Acuity <6/18, ≥3/60) Due to Macular Diseases (Except those of Diabetic Maculopathy) and the Age-Standardized Prevalences (Mean, 95% Uncertainty Interval) in Various World Regions in 1990

















































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































Region Number of People Affected in 1990 Mean Difference in the Number of People Affected 2010–1990 Age-Standardized Prevalence in People Aged 50+ Years in 1990 Proportion of Blindness/Visual Impairment by Macular Diseases in 1990
Mean Lower Value Upper Value Mean Lower Value Upper Value Mean Lower Value Upper Value
World Blind 1 568 800 1 362 100 1 892 100 567 100 511 980 760 550 0.20% 0.20% 0.20% 4.9 (4.4, 5.8)
Asia Pacific, high income Blind 41 881 24 655 79 063 26 927 9960 54 258 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 14.9 (10.3, 21.3)
Asia, central Blind 23 367 16 276 34 457 −5421 −4239 −4818 0.20% 0.20% 0.40% 11.6 (8.8, 15.3)
Asia, east Blind 301 671 184 170 494 124 62 195 43 088 117 211 0.20% 0.10% 0.30% 5.0 (3.2, 7.9)
Asia, south Blind 134 289 97 192 183 936 135 941 75 591 267 354 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 1.4 (1.0, 1.9)
Asia, southeast Blind 125 835 85 007 165 079 79 256 63 121 136 670 0.30% 0.20% 0.40% 3.7 (2.9, 5.0)
Australasia Blind 5836 3828 14 189 962 −160 4730 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 16.8 (12.9, 22.2)
Caribbean Blind 9319 6078 13 522 2733 1811 4669 0.20% 0.10% 0.20% 4.5 (3.4, 6.0)
Europe, central Blind 50 232 35 204 107 356 241 −865 −2358 0.20% 0.10% 0.30% 12.2 (9.3, 15.6)
Europe, east Blind 124 924 68 406 217 874 −27 141 −24 376 −33 945 0.20% 0.10% 0.30% 13.1 (9.1, 19.2)
Europe, west Blind 189 652 138 762 289 270 −35 797 −34 668 −40 991 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 16.1 (13.4, 19.6)
Latin America, Andean Blind 7092 4375 10 862 5078 2443 9717 0.20% 0.10% 0.30% 3.7 (2.6, 5.5)
Latin America, central Blind 38 817 26 806 56 360 22 833 13 387 40 554 0.20% 0.20% 0.30% 4.6 (3.5, 6.2)
Latin America, south Blind 34 101 22 049 56 700 9919 7327 15 264 0.30% 0.20% 0.60% 14.6 (10.6, 19.6)
Latin America, tropical Blind 37 026 18 701 75 476 35 531 21 042 72 312 0.20% 0.10% 0.50% 5.0 (3.1, 8.0)
North Africa/Middle East Blind 191 239 129 163 274 038 129 096 87 331 194 864 0.80% 0.50% 1.10% 6.4 (5.2, 8.0)
North America, high income Blind 73 840 47 458 114 618 3850 −2884 16 967 0.10% 0.00% 0.10% 16.4 (12.2, 21.4)
Oceania Blind 915 490 1588 590 329 1178 0.30% 0.20% 0.50% 3.3 (2.3, 4.7)
Sub-Saharan Africa, central Blind 13 322 7603 28 197 6177 2109 14 121 0.40% 0.20% 0.80% 4.8 (3.5, 7.1)
Sub-Saharan Africa, east Blind 67 610 50 046 90 732 53 274 33 695 79 841 0.50% 0.40% 0.70% 4.1 (3.4, 5.1)
Sub-Saharan Africa, south Blind 21 367 11 634 29 601 7733 2458 15 784 0.60% 0.30% 0.80% 6.9 (5.5, 8.9)
Sub-Saharan Africa, west Blind 77 357 53 822 101 363 53 655 37 585 82 576 0.60% 0.40% 0.70% 4.1 (3.4, 5.4)
World MSVI 3 307 200 2 623 500 4 181 700 2 687 100 2 550 890 3 941 610 0.40% 0.30% 0.50% 1.9 (1.6, 2.4)
Asia Pacific, high income MSVI 55 762 33 200 194 839 60 643 29 828 241 939 0.10% 0.10% 0.40% 3.5 (2.4, 5.1)
Asia, central MSVI 48 771 28 521 84 173 9901 7010 40 949 0.50% 0.30% 0.90% 3.3 (2.4, 4.6)
Asia, east MSVI 989 498 523 428 1 612 265 755 235 515 338 1 163 616 0.60% 0.30% 0.90% 3.1 (1.9, 5.2)
Asia, south MSVI 266 190 175 671 381 442 439 256 271 418 884 904 0.20% 0.20% 0.40% 0.45 (0.32, 0.61)
Asia,southeast MSVI 149 545 99 613 229 494 185 308 114 289 445 966 0.30% 0.20% 0.50% 0.93 (0.72, 1.3)
Australasia MSVI 26 728 12 582 64 894 9843 3100 32 172 0.40% 0.20% 1.10% 6.6 (4.6, 9.5)
Caribbean MSVI 8475 4712 12 443 6241 4029 12 872 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 0.74 (0.57, 1.0)
Europe, central MSVI 179 174 89 974 310 812 67 111 39 309 207 285 0.50% 0.30% 0.90% 4.7 (3.4, 6.5)
Europe, east MSVI 344 165 166 872 624 992 54 403 8975 195 285 0.50% 0.30% 1.00% 4.3 (2.7, 6.9)
Europe, west MSVI 352 395 228 028 590 886 50 433 44 884 143 277 0.20% 0.20% 0.40% 4.1 (3.3, 5.2)
Latin America, Andean MSVI 17 367 9074 27 863 25 550 16 248 45 347 0.40% 0.20% 0.70% 1.4 (0.99, 2.2)
Latin America, central MSVI 74 996 43 646 114 570 86 754 57 253 144 327 0.40% 0.20% 0.60% 1.7 (1.2, 2.5)
Latin America, south MSVI 66 571 39 350 126 099 48 412 29 135 119 132 0.60% 0.40% 1.20% 4.2 (2.9, 6.2)
Latin America, tropical MSVI 119 970 61 511 199 545 171 483 100 883 300 823 0.70% 0.30% 1.10% 2.8 (1.7, 4.6)
North Africa/Middle East MSVI 216 316 144 735 300 316 342 154 241 257 589 991 0.80% 0.50% 1.10% 1.8 (1.4, 2.6)
North America, high income MSVI 132 277 93 698 231 801 37 090 18 083 117 735 0.10% 0.10% 0.20% 4.5 (3.2, 6.1)
Oceania MSVI 2639 1363 3956 4003 1722 8018 0.70% 0.40% 1.00% 1.4 (0.99, 2.1)
Sub-Saharan Africa, central MSVI 23 775 13 449 44 080 26 147 12 244 72 414 0.60% 0.30% 1.10% 1.9 (1.3, 2.9)
Sub-Saharan Africa, east MSVI 128 963 95 061 184 627 154 276 99 935 235 735 0.90% 0.60% 1.20% 2.5 (1.9, 3.2)
Sub-Saharan Africa, south MSVI 23 681 15 132 39 889 21 321 10 076 52 072 0.60% 0.40% 0.90% 2.8 (2.0, 4.2)
Sub-Saharan Africa, west MSVI 81 348 56 217 116 564 127 401 94 452 224 822 0.50% 0.40% 0.80% 1.4 (1.1, 1.9)

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Jan 8, 2017 | Posted by in OPHTHALMOLOGY | Comments Off on Visual Impairment and Blindness Due to Macular Diseases Globally: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

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