Visual Outcomes and Associated Risk Factors for Blindness in Axenfeld–Rieger Syndrome

Highlights

  • •

    In ARS glaucoma eyes, blindness reached 19.2% at 3 years, 27.5% at 5 years, and 36.3% at 10 years.

  • •

    About one-quarter of ARS glaucoma patients developed bilateral blindness.

  • •

    Presence of FOXC1 mutations within a family was associated with unfavorable visual outcomes.

  • •

    Blindness risk in ARS glaucoma: poor VA, high IOP, surgeries, cloudy cornea, female, Asian.

Purpose

To evaluate long-term visual outcomes in Axenfeld–Rieger syndrome (ARS), quantify blindness rates, and identify risk factors of blindness in ARS-related glaucoma.

Design

Retrospective cohort study.

Methods

Consecutive surgically naïve ARS patients diagnosed before age 18 at three tertiary hospitals in Thailand and the United States (2004-2023) were included. Visual status was classified per World Health Organization criteria. Outcomes were proportions of visual impairment/blindness at baseline and final follow-up, progression to blindness at 3, 5, and 10 years, and risk factors.

Results

Ninety-six patients (189 eyes; mean age 4.05 ± 5.35 years) were followed for 8.72 ± 5.76 years. Glaucoma developed in 55.5% of eyes. Among glaucomatous eyes, 17.4% were blind at presentation; blindness progressed to 19.2% at 3 years, 27.5% at 5 years, and 36.3% at 10 years. Bilateral blindness occurred in 23.5% of glaucoma patients. Pathogenic FOXC1 variants were identified in 2 of 5 families, all with at least moderate impairment. Risk factors of blindness included poor initial visual acuity (AoR = 9.72, P =.002), higher intraocular pressure (IOP) (AoR = 1.153, P =.020), number of glaucoma surgeries (AoR = 1.92, P <.001), cloudy cornea (AoR = 4.42, P =.001), female sex (AoR = 6.36, P =.017), and Asian ethnicity (AoR = 6.06, P =.027).

Conclusions

Nearly 40% of ARS eyes with glaucoma develop blindness within 10 years. Risk factors include poor VA, elevated IOP, number of glaucoma surgeries, cloudy cornea, female sex, and Asian ethnicity. Early detection, aggressive IOP control, and close monitoring are critical to preserve vision.

INTRODUCTION

A xenfeld–Rieger syndrome (ARS) is a rare developmental disorder characterized by anterior segment dysgenesis and systemic anomalies, most commonly associated with mutations in the PITX2 and FOXC1 genes. ,,, A major clinical challenge in ARS is its strong association with glaucoma, which develops in more than half of affected individuals and frequently leads to progressive visual impairment and blindness if inadequately controlled. ,,

Although ARS has been described in case series and small cohorts, long-term data on visual outcomes remain limited. Most prior studies have focused on clinical features or surgical management, with less emphasis on quantifying blindness rates across eyes, patients, and families, or identifying risk factors that predict poor visual prognosis. , Given the rarity of ARS, comprehensive multicenter studies are essential to better understand its natural history and the determinants of vision loss.

This study addresses these critical gaps by evaluating long-term visual outcomes in a large cohort of newly diagnosed ARS patients from Thailand and Miami. We quantified blindness rates at the eye, patient, and family levels, and identified both ocular and patient-level risk factors associated with glaucoma-related blindness. These findings provide essential evidence to define prognosis and guide management in this rare and severe disease.

METHODS

eligibility criteria

This research protocol received approval from the Institutional Review Boards of the Bascom Palmer Eye Institute at the University of Miami Miller School of Medicine (Miami, Florida, USA), Rajavithi Hospital, and the Queen Sirikit National Institute of Child Health (Bangkok, Thailand). All procedures complied with the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 and followed the ethical principles of the Declaration of Helsinki.

Patients with ARS diagnosed consecutively at these three tertiary centers between January 2004 and December 2023 were identified. The study population consisted of individuals younger than 18 years who attended the clinics and had a confirmed ARS diagnosis, documented in hospital registries using International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 code 743.44 or ICD-10 code Q13.81.

After compiling the patient list, glaucoma specialists reviewed medical records to verify the presence or absence of ARS-associated glaucoma according to the Childhood Glaucoma Research Network criteria. Exclusion criteria included eyes with other secondary glaucoma, prior ocular surgery, including glaucoma surgery, or less than 1 year of follow-up.

Demographic and clinical information was extracted, including age at diagnosis, sex, family history, laterality, systemic comorbidities, presenting symptoms, baseline best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA), intraocular pressure (IOP), cup-to-disc ratio, and refraction. Visual acuity (VA) was measured using age-appropriate methods and converted to the logMAR scale for consistency across modalities. Corneal clarity was evaluated on a four-point scale (0-3) using either a slit lamp or a portable slit lamp, where grade 0 indicated a completely clear cornea, grade 1 represented a fine haze with iris details easily visible, grade 2 denoted moderate haze with the iris visible only with difficulty, and grade 3 corresponded to severe haze in which the iris was not visible. Family history was considered positive if one or more first- or second-degree relatives has ARS, either diagnosed by an ophthalmologist or based on patient report, regardless of whether glaucoma was present. If any relative was found to carry a pathogenic FOXC1 variant, the case was classified as having a FOXC1 -positive family history.

IOP was primarily measured with Goldmann applanation tonometry. In cases where cooperation was limited, iCare rebound tonometry (Revenio Group, Vantaa, Finland) or the Tono-pen (Reichert, Depew, NY, USA) was used. Genetic testing results were included when available. The incidence of glaucoma was determined using data from the most recent follow-up visit.

Glaucoma surgical treatments included trabeculectomy with mitomycin C, ab externo Harms trabeculotomy, goniotomy, glaucoma drainage device implantation, and cyclophotocoagulation.

visual outcomes

Visual disability was classified according to the World Health Organization International Classification of Diseases (2018) criteria for distance vision impairment (see Supplemental Table 1). Blindness was defined as a BCVA of 3/60 (equivalent to 20/400 or logMAR 1.30). Because visual field testing was either unavailable or unreliable in younger patients, this study relied solely on VA for assessment. Visual impairment was analyzed at both the eye level and the patient level. For patient-level analysis, categorization was based on the visual status of the better-seeing eye.

outcome measures

The primary outcome assessed was the extent of blindness and visual impairment, evaluated both at the initial presentation and at the final follow-up in patients with ARS, with and without glaucoma. Visual impairment was analyzed at the level of each eye as well as at the patient level (determined by the better-seeing eye). We also present the ARS family, highlighting its association with genetic testing and visual outcomes. Progression to blindness in eyes with ARS-associated glaucoma was defined as any eye that was not blind at presentation but subsequently met criteria for blindness during follow-up.

statistical analysis

Baseline characteristics were described using means or medians for continuous variables and proportions for categorical variables. Group comparisons for categorical data were performed with either the Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test, while continuous variables were analyzed using Student’s t test or the Mann–Whitney U test, depending on distribution. The cumulative risk of blindness in ARS eyes with glaucoma was estimated through Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was performed, and survival outcomes between glaucomatous and nonglaucomatous eyes were compared using the log-rank test. To identify risk factors associated with blindness, both univariable and multivariable regression models with Generalized Estimating Equations were applied, with results expressed as odds ratios and 95% CIs. All statistical tests were two-sided, and a P value below.05 was considered significant. Analyses were conducted using SPSS software, version 24.0, for Windows.

RESULT

visual impairment

A total of 96 patients were included for analysis (72 from the USA site [75%]) and 24 from the Thailand site (25%), of whom 97% presented with bilateral involvement, resulting in 189 eyes analyzed. The mean age at ARS diagnosis was 4.05 ± 5.35 years, increasing to 5.26 ± 5.55 years when congenitally-diagnosed ARS cases were excluded. Males comprised the majority of the cohort (53.1%). The average follow-up duration was 8.72 ± 5.76 years, during which 55.5% of eyes developed glaucoma by the final visit. Among the eyes that developed glaucoma, 78.8% were diagnosed at the initial presentation with ARS.

At baseline, VA could be assessed in 77 eyes from the nonglaucoma group and 46 eyes from the glaucoma group. Among nonglaucoma eyes, 54.5% had no visual impairment, while 5.2% were blind at presentation. In contrast, only 34.8% of glaucoma eyes had no visual impairment, and 17.4% were blind at presentation. The distribution across categories is detailed in Table 1 .

TABLE 1

Prevalence of Visual Impairment Among Axenfeld–Rieger Syndrome Patients: Analysis Per Eye and Per Patient.

Analyzed Per Eye ( N = 189) Analyzed Per Patient ( N = 96)
At Baseline Final Visit At Baseline Final Visit
Level of visual impairment BCVA No Glaucoma Glaucoma No Glaucoma Glaucoma No Glaucoma Glaucoma No Glaucoma Glaucoma
Number of eyes ( n ) 77 46 81 96 37 23 39 51
No visual impairment ≥20/40 42 (54.5%) 16 (34.8%) 58 (71.6%) 26 (27.1%) 21 (56.8%) 9 (39.1%) 30 (76.9%) 19 (37.3%)
Mild visual impairment <20/40 but ≥20/70 24 (31.2%) 16 (34.8%) 12 (14.8%) 10 (10.4%) 10 (27.0%) 8 (34.8%) 5 (12.8%) 8 (15.7%)
Moderate visual impairment <20/70 but ≥20/200 4 (5.2%) 5 (10.9%) 7 (8.6%) 15 (15.6%) 2 (5.4%) 2 (8.7%) 2 (5.1%) 8 (15.7%)
Severe visual impairment <20/200 but ≥20/400 3 (3.9%) 1 (2.2%) 2 (2.5%) 5 (5.2%) 2 (5.4%) 1 (4.3%) 1 (2.6%) 4 (7.8%)
Blindness <20/400 4 (5.2%) 8 (17.4%) 2 (2.5%) 40 (41.7%) 2 (5.4%) 3 (13.0%) 1 (2.6%) 12 (23.5%)
Cannot measure 8 58 4 8 4 32 2 4

BCVA = best-corrected visual acuity.

At the final visit, VA was measurable in 96 nonglaucoma eyes and 81 glaucoma eyes. Of the nonglaucoma eyes, 71.6% remained without visual impairment. In the glaucoma group, however, only 27.1% retained normal vision, while 10.4%, 15.6%, and 5.2% had mild, moderate, and severe visual impairment, respectively, and 41.7% were blind.

For the patient-level analysis, we selected the better eye for each patient. Initially, 13% of patients were classified as blind in the better-seeing eye (eg, bilateral blindness) in those who presented with glaucoma. This number rose to 23.5% at the final visit.

For family-level analysis in ARS, the better eye of each patient was selected. Among the five families studied, two families (40%) had at least one member with a causative pathogenic FOXC1 variant, while the remaining families either had no such variant or no genetic testing performed. In the FOXC1 -positive families, all five affected members demonstrated a person-level final visual outcome of at least moderate visual impairment. In contrast, among the nine members from families with negative or absent genetic testing, 88.9% had no visual impairment at the final evaluation. The detailed distribution of visual outcomes across the five families is presented in Table 2 .

TABLE 2

Prevalence and Severity of Visual Impairment in Axenfeld–Rieger Syndrome By Family and Genetic Test Status.

Level of Visual Impairment
Family Number Number of Family Members Genetic Test No VI Mild VI Moderate VI Severe VI Blindness
1 3 No genetic test 3 (100%)
2 3 Negative genetic test 3 (100%)
3 3 FOXC1 variant 1 (33.3%) 2 (66.7%)
4 3 No genetic test 2 (66.7%) 1 (33.3%)
5 2 FOXC1 variant 1 (50%) 1 (50%)
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Sep 19, 2026 | Posted by in OPHTHALMOLOGY | Comments Off on Visual Outcomes and Associated Risk Factors for Blindness in Axenfeld–Rieger Syndrome

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