Time Trends of Etiologies of Blindness in Israel 2009-2020:Have Methods to Decrease Leading Causes of Blindness Been Exhausted?





Highlights





  • The age-standardized rate of legal-blindness in Israel per 100,000 residents decreased from 15.76 in 2009 to 11.83 in 2020, a 24.9% drop.



  • Since 2014, the decline attenuated and was no longer significant.



  • The attenuation trend was observed for age-related macular degeneration, glaucoma and cataract. However, treatments for diabetic retinopathy seem to maintain effectiveness to date.



PURPOSE


To perform a nationwide analysis of trends in the incidence of etiologies for legal blindness in Israel during 2009-2020, and to compare the results with those of the previous decade.


DESIGN


Descriptive, retrospective population-based trend study.


METHODS


Data were retrieved from the Israeli National Registry of the Blind during 2009-2020. Data obtained included demographics, years of registration, and causes. Primary and secondary outcomes were the incidence of new certified blindness cases and its comparison with that of the previous decade, respectively.


RESULTS


The age-standardized incidence rate of blindness in Israel decreased from 15.76 per 100,000 residents in 2009 to 11.83 in 2020, a 24.9% drop. The mean annual decline was evident until 2013 ( P < .001, 6.15%), but subsequently flattened ( P = .71, 0.42%). Age-related macular degeneration (AMD), glaucoma, optic atrophy, and cataract decreased until 2014, and reached a plateau that was maintained until the end of the study period. Diabetic retinopathy (DR) incidence rates diminished throughout the decade ( P < .001, 9.2%), with attenuation of the rate of decline after 2014.


CONCLUSIONS


: The impact of efforts to reduce the incidence of preventable causes of blindness may have nearly reached saturation for most of the leading causes of blindness in Israel, namely, AMD, glaucoma and cataract. The incidence of DR has been maintained; however, attenuation has been observed. New modalities to detect and treat these causes may have to emerge before a resurgence of improvement can occur.


V ISION 2020: The Right to Sight is a joint global initiative launched in February 1999, with the declared aim of eliminating preventable blindness. The World Health Organization and the International Agency for the Prevention of Blindness set a high priority to systematically eliminate the main causes of all preventable, treatable, and avoidable blindness by the year 2020. , A similar initiative was also conceived in Europe. However, the increase in life expectancy in many countries has caused a concurrent increase in the number of individuals with moderate or severe vision impairment, , with an estimated 43.3 million blind persons in the world in the year 2020.


Blindness has profound human and socioeconomic consequences in all societies. The costs of lost productivity and of rehabilitation and education of blind people constitute a significant economic burden for the individual, the family, and society. , In addition, it has been demonstrated that even developed economies cannot afford avoidable vision loss, emphasizing the need to prioritize the prevention of avoidable eye diseases and to increase research on the subject.


Israel is one of the few countries that maintain a National Registry for the Blind (NRB). Analyzing incidence rates of blindness and time trends may aid identification and improve our understanding of the effects of advancements in medicine on the prevalence of blindness in Israel. It may also help to improve public health measures aimed at further reducing the incidence of blindness in Israel. Moreover, because of the similarities in blindness between Israel and other western countries, the insights from these findings may be relevant to other countries. A recent systemic review and meta-analysis showed a significant reduction in age-standardized prevalence in all major etiologies for blindness during 1990-2020. However, neither annual trends nor incidence were described.


The aims of the current study were to perform a nationwide analysis of the incidence of, and trends in, annual etiologies for blindness in Israel in the past decade (2009-2020), and to compare the results to the previous decade (1999-2008), thus providing an overview of the changes in the etiologies for blindness in Israel over the last 2 decades. This will enable us to reassess the effectiveness of prevention and treatment of the leading causes of blindness.


METHODS


This descriptive, retrospective, population-based study and data collection conformed to all local laws and adhered to the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki. Approval was obtained from the Institutional Review Board (IRB) of the Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel (RMB-D-0217-21).


DATA COLLECTION


Israel has maintained a nationwide registry of blindness certificates since 1987; the system was computerized in 2012. We conducted a descriptive, retrospective, population-based study and analyzed the data of new certificates of blindness issued in Israel, as well as the causes of blindness by age and sex, from 2009 to 2020. The Service for the Blind, Deaf and Assistive Technology (SfBDAT), under the Ministry of Welfare and Social Affairs (MOWSA), maintains a computerized NRB database. Data were directly retrieved from that database to minimize human errors. The data were then revised by the MOWSA officials responsible for big data mining, to exclude duplications of records and to prevent skewing of data, and to search for possible flaws such as incomplete records. To that end, duplicates of blindness certifications of applicants with a permanent certificate of blindness who reapplied for extended benefits and received them were excluded from the database. Information on the population size of each of the relevant age subgroups during that period was obtained from the database of the Israel Central Bureau of Statistics. The subgroups were as follows: ages 0 to 5, 6 to 18, 19 to 40, 41 to 65, 66 to 80, and 81+ years. The etiologies for blindness available on the application form for blindness certification are listed in Table 1 . All data, comprising demographic information, year of blindness certification, results of visual acuity and visual field testing, and cause of blindness, used to be recorded manually. The information was then extracted, manually collected, and physically stored in the national registry archives. In June 2012, the database became automated. The electronic database included an online application form that included the coded results of the medical examination of the referring ophthalmologist as well as the state-appointed ophthalmologist, and the approval of the administrative committee. This was done to minimize human error in data extraction and analysis and to facilitate quality control and access to the data. This system was upgraded in 2016.



TABLE 1

Etiologies of Visual Impairment Listed in the Certification of Blindness Application Form, Classified According to Anatomical Sites



























Site of Abnormality Blindness Etiology
Cornea and Sclera Central opacity
Keratoconus
Eyeball (Whole Globe) Albinism
Amblyopia
Anophthalmos
Microphthalmos
Nystagmus
Phthisis
Glaucoma Congenital
Primary
Secondary
Lens Complicated cataract
Congenital cataract
Operated cataract
Senile cataract
Optic Nerve and Pathways Cortical visual impairment
Optic atrophy
Other neuropathies
Retina and Vitreous Age-related macular degeneration
Central venous or arterial occlusion
Diabetic maculopathy and retinopathy
Myopic maculopathy
Other retina and vitreous
Retinal detachment
Retinitis pigmentosa
Retinopathy of prematurity
Vitreous hemorrhage
Uveal Tract Uveitis
Other uveal tract disorders


Additional information regarding the certification of blindness is provided in the Appendix (p 2).


RELIABILITY OF DATA


It is reasonable to assume that the vast majority of blind individuals in Israel either have applied for blindness certification or general disability benefits on their own behalf, because of significant economic and emotional benefits provided to blindness certificate holders and their families, , or have been advised to apply by an ophthalmologist who determined their eligibility after completing an ophthalmological assessment.


DEFINITION OF BLINDNESS IN ISRAEL


Blindness in Israel corresponds to the World Health Organization (WHO) criteria, and is defined as either a visual acuity at distance for an aged-matched standardized optotype such as LEA numbers or symbols of less than 3/60 in the better-seeing eye, or a visual field with a radius no greater than 10° around central fixation in the better-seeing eye with the best possible optical correction.


OCULAR EXAMINATION


The physical examination included performing dry or cycloplegic refraction adjusted for age: cyclopentolate-phenylephrine 0.2%/0.1% for subjects less than 12 months old, and cyclopentolate 1% twice for subjects at least 1 year old, followed by a standardized best corrected visual acuity assessment. In addition, a slitlamp examination and dilated fundus examination were carried out. Ancillary tests were performed as needed, including automated visual field testing, full field electroretinogram, flash or pattern reversal visual evoked potentials, and, in selected cases, optical coherence tomography (OCT), fluorescein retinal angiography, and other tests as described in previous publications. , , In the case of cortical blindness and other neuropathies, brain and orbit computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging scans were often obtained, followed by a thorough neurological or neuro-ophthalmological assessment.


BLINDNESS CERTIFICATION PROCESS


The Service for the Blind, Deaf and Assistive Technology (SfBDAT) issues a Certificate of Blindness to all individuals who meet the WHO definition of blindness. The certification process is carried out after a referral by a staff ophthalmologist, in a hospital or in the community, who has found the patient to meet the requirements of blind certification. A staff ophthalmologist appointed by the Ministry of Welfare and Social Affairs (MOWSA) carries out an independent ocular examination, and further assessment including additional ancillary testing in light of past medical history, and provides a recommendation as to whether the examinee is eligible for a blindness certificate. , ,


In the case that the examinee is found not eligible for a blind certificate by the staff ophthalmologist, he/she or a guardian can file an appeal to the SfBDAT and an “appeal committee” will reassess the case, referring to ancillary tests when appropriate, and will make a final decision.


Starting from 2015, blindness certification is considered by MOWSA not only for persons who have applied directly to MOWSA but also to those who have undergone a medical committee commissioned by the National Social Insurance Institute (NII). This was done to cancel the need to apply separately to MOWSA for blindness certification benefits as well as to NII for disability compensation.


ETIOLOGY FOR BLINDNESS


Etiologies were assigned to each eye and were usually concordant. In the minority of cases in which 2 different disease processes were recorded, one for each eye, the main Etiology was assigned to the better-seeing eye.


STATISTICAL ANALYSIS


Data were analyzed using SPSS version 24 (IBM Corp.) and R version 4.0.0 (R Core Team (2020). R: A language and environment for statistical computing, R Foundation for Statistical Computing) was used for the Poisson regression models.


Annual age- and sex-specific rates of all-cause and disease-specific blindness were calculated. Annual age-standardized rates were calculated from the WHO standard world population (2000-2025), using a direct standardization method. χ 2 Tests were used to examine sex and age group distributions, as appropriate. Poisson regression models were used to establish time trends of all-cause and disease-specific rates of blindness, according to age and sex. To compute the SE for the rate ratios, we used the delta method. The dependent variable was the annual rate of all-cause or cause-specific blindness, and the independent variables were calendar year, age group, and sex. Interactions between calendar year and sex or age were also examined. A 2-tailed P value of <.05 was considered statistically significant.


RESULTS


A total of 17,190 blindness certificates were approved in Israel between 2009 and 2020 (median age 75 years, range 0-112 years; 8,472 male individuals). The vast majority (94.8%) were permanent certificates, whereas 5.2% were temporary. Nearly all (98.3%) certificates were granted through direct application to MOWSA, whereas only 293 (1.7%) were provided through the mutual recognition agreement with the NII detailed in the Appendix (p 2). There were 131 (0.76%) certificates with an unknown diagnosis.


There was a decline in the total annual age-standardized rate of blindness certification per 100,000 residents, from 15.76 in 2009 to 11.83 in 2020. This represents a drop of 24.9% throughout the study period, and is a significantly lower decrease than that recorded in the previous decade (51%; P < .05).


Between 2009 and 2020, the mean annual age-standardized rate of decline in blindness certification was 0.50% ( P = .52, 95% CI = 2.03% decline to 1.06% increase) ( Figure 1 ). However, when data were divided into 2 time periods, we observed a change in trends: the annual rate of decline in the previous decade persisted between 2009 and 2013, with a 6.15% decline ( P < .001, 95% CI = 3.62%-8.61%). In contrast, no significant decline was found between 2014 and 2020 (0.42%, P = .71, 95% CI = 3.74% decline to 0.91% increase). This turning point was evident for all of the major etiologies ( Table 2 ).




FIGURE 1


Annual age-standardized rates of certification of blindness in Israel between 2009 and 2020.


TABLE 2

Mean Percentage Change in Annual Incidence Rate of Selected Cause-Specific Blindness in Israel


































Cause of Blindness % Change a 95% CI P
AMD
<2014
≥2014
-1.3
-4.2
-2.1
-2.6 to 0.1
-7.3 to -1.0
-5.1 to 1.1
.06
.01
.19
Glaucoma
<2014
≥2014
-1.5
-5.9
-2.1
-2.7 to -0.4
-9.0 to -2.8
-4.5 to 0.3
.01
<.001
.08
Diabetic Retinopathy
<2014
≥2014
-9.2
-14.9
-8.6
-10.7 to -7.7
-18.3 to -11.4
-11.5 to -5.6
<.001
<.001
<.001
Optic Atrophy
<2014
≥2014
-1.5
-11.6
-0.6
-3.4 to 0.6
-17.9 to -4.8
-3.6 to 2.4
.07
.001
.70
Cataract
<2014
≥2014
-3.3
-12.9
-2.9
-6.6 to 0.2
-22.0 to -2.8
-7.5 to 1.8
.06
.01
.22

AMD = age-related macular degeneration.

a Controlling for age and sex.



The leading causes of blindness in Israel between 2009 and 2020, in descending order, were age-related macular degeneration (AMD) (31.4%; mean 446 cases/y), glaucoma (14.1%; mean 200 cases/y), diabetic retinopathy (DR) (9.9%; mean 141 cases/y), optic atrophy (OA) (7.4%; mean 106 cases/y), and cataract (4.7%; mean 67 cases/y)( Table 3 ).


Figure 2 shows the annual age-standardized rates of certification of the main causes of blindness in Israel between 2009 and 2020.




FIGURE 2


Annual age-standardized rates of certification of select causes of blindness in Israel between 2009 and 2020. AMD = age-related macular degeneration; DR = diabetic retinopathy; OA = optic atrophy.


The distributions of age and sex in the general population are presented in the Appendix (Supplemental Table 1), as are the age and sex distributions of newly blind individuals (Supplemental Tables 2 and 3, respectively). An annual average 84.8% (range 82.7%-87.3%) of newly blind persons were more than 40 years of age (Table 3). We found no difference in annual sex distribution of newly blind persons over the years ( P = 0.44, χ 2 = 11.02) (Supplemental Table 3). However, we did find significant differences in the annual age distribution over the years ( P < .001, χ 2 = 137.37), in which the 41- to 65-year age group comprised a greater proportion of the certified blind population during 2009-2011 compared to 2012-2020.


After adjusting for age and sex, there was a significant annual decline of 1.5% in the annual incidence rate of blindness in Israel ( Table 4 ); this differed by sex ( P < .001), with a significant annual decline of 2% in male and no decline in female individuals. The greatest annual decline was among persons 66 to 80 years of age. There was no decline in those more than 80 years of age, whereas there was an increase in the rate among those 40 years or less.



Table 3

Etiological distribution of new blindness certificates granted each year.





























































































































































































































































































































































































2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
N(%) N(%) N(%) N(%) N(%) N(%) N(%) N(%) N(%) N(%) N(%) N(%)
AMD 440 (28.8) 398 (30.5) 394 (29.7) 421 (33.8) 401 (31.9) 492 (34.3) 427 (31.1) 489 (31.6) 432 (29.1) 429 (31.5) 561 (32.7) 474 (32.1)
Albinism 11 (0.7) 6 (0.5) 10 (0.8) 12 (1.0) 10 (0.8) 11 (0.8) 10 (0.7) 11 (0.7) 3 (0.2) 11 (0.8) 13 (0.8) 9 (0.6)
Amblyopia 16 (1.0) 12 (0.9) 5 (0.4) 8 (0.6) 13 (1.0) 9 (0.6) 10 (0.7) 11 (0.7) 14 (0.9) 11 (0.8) 10 (0.6) 5 (0.3)
Anophthalmos 3 (0.2) 2 (0.2) 4 (0.3) 3 (0.2) 1 (0.1) 1 (0.1) 1 (0.1) 2 (0.1) 1 (0.1) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.1) 0 (0.0)
CVI. 5 (0.3) 3 (0.2) 8 (0.6) 7 (0.6) 11 (0.9) 42 (2.9) 45 (3.3) 82 (5.3) 37 (2.5) 19 (1.4) 28 (1.6) 33 (2.2)
CVO./CAO. 17 (1.1) 18 (1.4) 12 (0.9) 13 (1.0) 16 (1.3) 19 (1.3) 14 (1.0) 12 (0.8) 15 (1.0) 13 (1.0) 16 (0.9) 17 (1.2)
Cataract 86 (5.6) 61 (4.7) 75 (5.7) 53 (4.3) 54 (4.3) 64 (4.5) 42 (3.1) 58 (3.7) 137 (9.2) 69 (5.1) 63 (3.7) 47 (3.2)
Central Opacity 43 (2.8) 31 (2.4) 23 (1.7) 32 (2.6) 36 (2.9) 31 (2.2) 25 (1.8) 28 (1.8) 12 (0.8) 20 (1.5) 35 (2.0) 40 (2.7)
Corneal Diseases 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 2 (0.1) 4 (0.3) 2 (0.1) 3 (0.2)
Diabetic Mac. & Ret. 223 (14.6) 186 (14.2) 175 (13.2) 134 (10.8) 135 (10.7) 142 (9.9) 136 (9.9) 137 (8.8) 103 (6.9) 97 (7.1) 126 (7.3) 95 (6.4)
Glaucoma 200 (13.1) 179 (13.7) 202 (15.2) 162 (13.0) 180 (14.3) 192 (13.4) 203 (14.8) 215 (13.9) 235 (15.8) 211 (15.5) 226 (13.2) 200 (13.6)
Keratoconus 10 (0.7) 10 (0.8) 8 (0.6) 2 (0.2) 7 (0.6) 13 (0.9) 6 (0.4) 11 (0.7) 14 (0.9) 9 (0.7) 20 (1.2) 13 (0.9)
Microphthalmos 3 (0.2) 1 (0.1) 1 (0.1) 2 (0.2) 3 (0.2) 1 (0.1) 1 (0.1) 2 (0.1) 5 (0.3) 3 (0.2) 3 (0.2) 2 (0.1)
Myopic Mac. 82 (5.4) 69 (5.3) 65 (4.9) 57 (4.6) 56 (4.5) 57 (4.0) 84 (6.1) 69 (4.5) 52 (3.5) 58 (4.3) 76 (4.4) 79 (5.4)
Nystagmus 14 (0.9) 4 (0.3) 15 (1.1) 18 (1.4) 15 (1.2) 18 (1.3) 13 (0.9) 15 (1.0) 3 (0.2) 11 (0.8) 21 (1.2) 7 (0.5)
Optic Atrophy 126 (8.3) 107 (8.2) 92 (6.9) 84 (6.8) 88 (7.0) 114 (7.9) 100 (7.3) 107 (6.9) 103 (6.9) 98 (7.2) 142 (8.3) 108 (7.3)
Other Neuropathy 20 (1.3) 18 (1.4) 19 (1.4) 16 (1.3) 17 (1.4) 25 (1.7) 23 (1.7) 32 (2.1) 21 (1.4) 26 (1.9) 18 (1.0) 16 (1.1)
Phthisis 7 (0.5) 5 (0.4) 2 (0.2) 8 (0.6) 8 (0.6) 9 (0.6) 4 (0.3) 4 (0.3) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.1) 4 (0.2) 2 (0.1)
Retina & Other 45 (2.9) 42 (3.2) 47 (3.5) 47 (3.8) 44 (3.5) 44 (31) 65 (4.7) 58 (3.7) 51 (3.4) 42 (3.1) 77 (4.5) 68 (4.6)
Retinal Detachment 15 (1.0) 13 (1.0) 19 (1.4) 15 (1.2) 26 (2.1) 13 (0.9) 18 (1.3) 13 (0.8) 11 (0.7) 18 (1.3) 20 (1.2) 16 (1.1)
Retinitis Pigmentosa 94 (6.2) 96 (7.3) 92 (6.9) 94 (7.6) 88 (7.0) 81 (5.6) 94 (6.9) 99 (6.4) 81 (5.5) 88 (6.5) 120 (7.0) 142 (9.6)
ROP 3 (0.2) 2 (0.2) 6 (0.5) 5 (0.4) 10 (0.8) 11 (0.8) 4 (0.3) 8 (0.5) 6 (0.4) 5 (0.4) 6 (0.3) 5 (0.3)
Uveal Tract 6 (0.4) 6 (0.5) 4 (0.3) 4 (0.3) 8 (0.6) 8 (0.6) 5 (0.3) 6 (0.4) 6 (0.4) 6 (0.4) 2 (0.1) 8 (0.5)
Vitreous Haemorrhage 8 (0.5) 7 (0.5) 13 (1.0) 9 (0.7) 4 (0.3) 8 (0.6) 8 (0.6) 10 (0.6) 2 (0.1) 4 (0.3) 1 (0.1) 1 (0.1)
Other Diagnosis 49 (3.2) 31 (2.4) 34 (2.6) 38 (3.1) 27 (2.1) 30 (2.1) 31 (2.3) 71 (4.6) 139 (9.3) 110 (8.1) 127 (7.4) 86 (5.8)

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Sep 11, 2022 | Posted by in OPHTHALMOLOGY | Comments Off on Time Trends of Etiologies of Blindness in Israel 2009-2020:Have Methods to Decrease Leading Causes of Blindness Been Exhausted?

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