Macular Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography Biomarkers Predict Regional Retinal Nonperfusion Patterns on Ultrawidefield Angiography in Diabetes

Highlights

  • •

    Mixed-effects models linked macular OCTA biomarkers with UWF-FA nonperfusion.

  • •

    GPDd strongly predicted global nonperfusion with the highest model strength.

  • •

    FAZ enlargement improved posterior ischemia detection and model performance.

  • •

    Posterior ischemia related to HbA1c, and peripheral ischemia to diabetes duration.

  • •

    Macular OCTA may offer noninvasive ischemia assessment and risk stratification in DR.

Objective

To determine whether foveal avascular zone (FAZ) enlargement and geometric perfusion deficits in the deep capillary plexus (GPDd) are independently associated with retinal nonperfusion in different regions of ultrawidefield fluorescein angiography (UWF-FA) in diabetes.

Design

Prospective cross-sectional observational study.

Participants

A total of 159 eyes from 112 patients with diabetes, and without center-involving diabetic macular edema, across the spectrum of diabetic retinopathy severity.

Methods

Nonperfusion in the posterior, peripheral (inside and outside ETDRS 7-fields, respectively), and total retina were quantified on UWF-FA. Averaged 3 × 3 mm en-face optical coherence tomography (OCT) and OCT angiography (OCTA) were used to measure the structural and functional FAZ areas, respectively, and the discrepancy between them defined as FAZ enlargement. GPDd was defined as the proportion of retinal areas located ≥30 µm from the nearest perfused capillary on OCTA in the deep capillary plexus. Linear mixed-effects models adjusted for key covariates were applied, and model fit was evaluated using likelihood ratio tests and information criteria.

Main Outcome Measures

Standardized associations ( β ) and improvements in model fit for FAZ enlargement and GPDd in predicting posterior, peripheral, and total nonperfusion.

Results

Posterior nonperfusion was significantly associated with GPDd ( β = 0.216, P <.001), FAZ enlargement ( β = 0.128, P =.016), and hemoglobin A1c ( β = 0.240, P =.008). Both peripheral and total nonperfusion were associated with GPDd ( β = 0.216 and 0.237; P =.008 and 0.001, respectively) and diabetes duration ( β = 0.214 for both; P =.046 and 0.040), but not with FAZ enlargement. Model comparisons further confirmed the added value of GPDd across all regions ( P ≤.009), whereas FAZ enlargement improved model fit only for posterior nonperfusion ( P ≤.018).

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that GPDd is a robust biomarker of ischemic burden across all retinal regions, significantly improving model fit in predicting retinal nonperfusion on UWF-FA. On the other hand, FAZ enlargement reflected posterior ischemia but did not improve model performance outside that region. These findings highlight the complementary contributions of OCTA-derived metrics for regional characterization of retinal ischemia in diabetes, with implications for OCTA biomarker-based stratification.

INTRODUCTION

D iabetic retinopathy (DR) remains one of the leading causes of blindness in adults worldwide and a common microvascular complication among patients with diabetes mellitus. Globally, more than 540 million people are affected by diabetes mellitus, with over 30% developing DR. , Progressive microvascular injury in the retina leads to retinal ischemia, possibly resulting in vision loss. Diabetic macular ischemia is associated with the severity and complications of DR and is thought to influence visual function. ,, Additionally, retinal nonperfusion on ultrawidefield fluorescein angiography (UWF-FA) may predict DR worsening. , Therefore, retinal ischemia is viewed as a key biomarker reflecting disease burden and predicting progression in DR. Despite its clinical value, UWF-FA is invasive and carries rare but serious risks such as anaphylaxis, highlighting the need for reliable, noninvasive alternatives to UWF-FA.

In this context, optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) enables layer-specific mapping of the retinal microvasculature, thereby facilitating quantitative noninvasive assessment of macular ischemia. Among OCTA-derived parameters, two macular metrics have emerged as promising biomarkers: geometric perfusion deficit in the deep capillary plexus (GPDd) , and foveal avascular zone (FAZ) enlargement. ,

The first, GPDd, quantifies presumed hypoxic tissue in the deep capillary plexus (DCP) by defining retinal areas ≥30 µm from the nearest perfused capillary, a threshold based on oxygen diffusion and intercapillary spacing. ,,, The DCP is considered a critical zone of retinal ischemia owing to its anatomical vulnerability. , It relies on indirect arterial supply and has fewer contractile pericytes, which limits its ability to regulate perfusion and maintain downstream flow. Moreover, combined with its planar vascular architecture and reduced perfusion reserve, the DCP becomes an early site of capillary dropout and ischemic damage in DR. ,

Second, FAZ enlargement is an OCT/OCTA-based metric that accounts for an individual eye’s baseline FAZ size. By averaging multiple OCT scans, the ghost vessels around the FAZ on OCT reveal the original predisease (structural) FAZ, while the perfused (functional) FAZ on en-face OCTA shows the enlarged FAZ after capillary closure.

FAZ enlargement and GPDd have shown strong clinical relevance: GPDd demonstrates excellent diagnostic performance for referable DR and correlates with UWF-FA nonperfusion, , while FAZ enlargement associates with both visual function and DR severity, and its inclusion improved the fit of mixed-effects models of visual acuity as well as logistic regression models of DR severity. , Together, GPDd and FAZ enlargement represent promising OCTA-based biomarkers of ischemic burden in DR. Our group demonstrated that GPDd strongly correlated with global UWF-FA nonperfusion and performed well in detecting clinically referable DR, while functional FAZ showed only a modest association and was limited by substantial interindividual variability. However, whether these macular OCTA metrics differentially align with nonperfusion in different zones (posterior vs peripheral) on UWF-FA, and whether FAZ enlargement adds predictive value beyond GPDd, has not been established.

Based on our prior studies of the clinical utility of FAZ enlargement, , we hypothesized that FAZ enlargement is independently associated with retinal nonperfusion detected on UWF-FA and that it adds predictive value beyond GPDd. , We further hypothesized that these macular OCTA metrics would demonstrate region-specific associations with nonperfusion (posterior vs peripheral vs total). Therefore, this study aimed to determine whether FAZ enlargement and GPDd are independently associated with retinal nonperfusion in different regions of UWF-FA and whether they provide incremental predictive value beyond key clinical covariates and each other.

METHODS

STUDY DESIGN

This study is a cross-sectional observational study conducted at Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Chicago, USA. The study adhered to the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the Northwestern University Institutional Review Board. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants prior to study enrollment, including consent for OCTA and fluorescein angiography. The study was carried out in compliance with the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act.

Recruitment occurred between October 2021 and September 2023. Eligible participants were adults with type 1 or type 2 diabetes, with or without DR spanning the full severity spectrum based on the International Clinical DR severity scales. Key exclusion criteria were: center-involving diabetic macular edema, defined as edema involving the central 1-mm circle (central subfield) around the fovea and operationalized as central subfield thickness ≥300 µm on Spectralis OCT (Heidelberg Engineering) ; prior intravitreal anti-VEGF or corticosteroid therapy within 6 months; ocular diseases that could confound DR evaluation or affect vision as determined by the investigator; OCT scans with signal strength index <6; major intraocular surgery within the preceding 3 months or planned within the following 6 months; concurrent enrollment in another investigational trial; or hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) >10.0%. Eyes with edema within the 3 × 3 mm OCTA scan area that did not involve the foveal center (central 1-mm circle) were not excluded.

In addition, eyes with a history of retinal photocoagulation or an axial length outside the range of 22.00 to 26.00 mm were excluded to ensure reliable ischemia quantification.

At enrollment, all participants underwent a comprehensive ophthalmic evaluation, including lens status (history of cataract surgery), best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA, using the ETDRS protocol), and axial length measurements with the IOL Master 700 (Carl Zeiss Meditec). Additional assessments included ultrawidefield pseudocolor fundus photography and UWF-FA (Optos California system, Optomap Panoramic 200, Optos PLC), as well as spectral-domain OCT (Spectralis OCT) imaging. Multiple OCTA scans using the RTVue-XR Avanti system (Optovue Inc, version 2017.1.0.151) with 3 × 3 mm scan protocols were performed to assess macular perfusion. Demographic and systemic health information were collected, including age, sex, hypertension, ischemic heart disease, renal impairment, and cerebrovascular disease. Sex was defined as a biological variable as recorded in the medical records. Diabetes-specific data encompassed diabetes type, duration, and the most recent HbA1c level. These comprehensive assessments provided structural, functional, and systemic parameters for subsequent analyses.

UWF-FA IMAGING AND QUANTIFICATION

UWF-FA images were acquired using the Optos California system (Optomap Panoramic 200, Optos PLC) following a standardized protocol. Prior to imaging, the study eye was pharmacologically dilated, and fluorescein dye was administered intravenously. A trained technician obtained high-quality angiographic images centered on the fovea.

Images were analyzed using the proprietary OptosAdvance software (version 4.4.33.107911, Optos PLC). For each eye, the earliest high-quality image demonstrating complete fluorescein filling of the peripheral vasculature was selected for evaluation. The total visible retina was manually outlined using the ROI-free annotation tool, which allows freehand delineation of irregular regions directly on the image rather than using predefined geometric regions of interest, with artifacts excluded to determine the total gradable area. A digital template of the ETDRS 7-fields mask was then superimposed, with its position automatically aligned after manually designating the locations of the fovea and optic disc, and its boundaries were delineated. The posterior retina was defined as the area within the ETDRS 7-fields, while the peripheral retina was defined as the area between the total visible retina and the ETDRS 7-fields.

All regions of retinal nonperfusion were manually traced with the ROI-free annotation tool. Nonperfusion was defined as areas lacking retinal arterioles or capillaries, often accompanied by pruning of adjacent arterioles and a darker underlying choroid. To account for the projection of the three-dimensional retina onto a two-dimensional image, the software automatically converted the outlined regions into a stereographic projection, corrected for magnification artifacts, and calculated absolute areas (mm²) based on a default axial length of 24 mm. For each eye, the percentage of nonperfusion was calculated as the ratio of nonperfused area to the total gradable retinal area. Nonperfusion within the ETDRS 7-fields was designated as posterior nonperfusion, while nonperfusion outside the ETDRS 7-fields was designated as peripheral nonperfusion. We have previously confirmed that the intergrader agreement for nonperfusion measurements was excellent. Figure 1 illustrates representative quantification, including the manual delineation of posterior and peripheral nonperfusion.

FIGURE 1

Quantification of retinal nonperfusion on ultrawidefield fluorescein angiography. This figure shows a representative ultrawidefield fluorescein angiography image analyzed using OptosAdvance software. The total visible retina was manually outlined (yellow solid contour) after excluding artifacts. A digital ETDRS 7-field template was automatically positioned after manually designating the fovea and optic disc, and its boundary was manually traced (yellow dotted line) to define the posterior retina. The peripheral retina was defined as the area outside the ETDRS 7-fields but within the total gradable retina. Areas of nonperfusion were manually traced (green outlines) and stereographically projected to correct for peripheral magnification, allowing calculation of absolute area and percentage of nonperfusion in posterior, peripheral, and total retina.

SEVERITY GRADING OF DR

The severity of diabetic retinal changes was graded using pseudocolor fundus images acquired with the Optos California system in accordance with the International Clinical DR severity scales. , It categorizes disease into five levels: (1) no visible signs of retinopathy (no apparent DR), (2) mild nonproliferative DR (NPDR) defined by the presence of microaneurysms only, (3) moderate NPDR, which includes lesions beyond microaneurysms but not meeting the threshold for severe NPDR, (4) severe NPDR, characterized by any of the “4-2-1” features (≥20 intraretinal hemorrhages in each of four quadrants, venous beading in two or more quadrants, or prominent intraretinal microvascular abnormalities in at least one quadrant), and (5) proliferative DR, indicated by neovascularization or vitreous/preretinal hemorrhage.

QUANTIFICATION OF GEOMETRIC PERFUSION DEFICITS IN THE DCP AND FAZ ENLARGEMENT

We acquired multiple 3 × 3 mm (304 × 304 pixels) OCTA scans centered on the fovea using the RTVue-XR Avanti system with split-spectrum amplitude-decorrelation angiography for angiographic data. For each study eye, at least five repeat scans were acquired, and images with a signal quality index <6 or apparent artifacts were excluded. Default settings segmented the retinal microvasculature into DCP (10 µm above the inner plexiform layer to 10 µm below the outer plexiform layer), superficial capillary plexus (SCP; from internal limiting membrane to 10 µm above the inner plexiform layer), and full retina slabs (combining DCP and SCP).

En-face OCTA (functional) and corresponding en-face OCT (structural) scans were exported, registered, and averaged using Fiji software (ImageJ, National Institutes of Health) to enhance image quality and improve signal-to-noise ratio. , Structural OCT images were subsequently inverted to optimize capillary contrast. We used a semiautomated macro in Fiji to measure macular ischemia metrics, including GPDd, from averaged en-face OCTA images, as previously described in detail ( Figure 2 ). ,

FIGURE 2

Averaged OCTA image and geometric perfusion deficit map of the deep capillary plexus. (A) Averaged en-face OCTA image of the deep capillary plexus (3 × 3 mm). Multiple frames were registered and averaged to enhance vessel visualization and reduce noise. (B) Corresponding GPD in the deep capillary plexus (GPDd), which was defined as regions >30 µm from the nearest capillary. These areas are highlighted in red, with the foveal avascular zone excluded. GPDd was expressed as the percentage of these areas relative to the total analyzed region, serving as a biomarker of ischemic burden in the DCP.

The structural FAZ was outlined on the averaged en-face OCT images, which depict the underlying foveal capillary architecture independent of flow detection, and therefore represent the baseline anatomic FAZ. The functional FAZ was delineated on the corresponding averaged en-face OCTA images, which visualize flow signal, and therefore represent the FAZ as the area defined by detectable blood flow at the time of imaging. Both measurements were performed manually using the polygon selection tool in Fiji by graders who were masked to clinical information. Excellent intergrader reliability was previously confirmed for both structural and functional FAZ measurements. FAZ enlargement was calculated as the difference between the functional and structural FAZ areas, thereby isolating the ischemia-related expansion of the FAZ while accounting for individual variability in baseline FAZ size ( Figure 3 ). This definition is consistent with prior work by Lynch et al, which described FAZ enlargement as the discrepancy between flow-based and structure-based FAZ measurements.

FIGURE 3

Averaged en-face OCT and OCTA images showing manual delineation of the structural and functional foveal avascular zone and quantification of foveal avascular zone enlargement. (A) Cropped averaged en-face structural OCT image of the macula, focusing on the central region. (B) Cropped averaged OCTA image from the same eye, demonstrating the perfused capillary network. (C) Manual delineation of the structural foveal avascular zone (yellow contour) on the averaged OCT image. (D) Manual delineation of the functional foveal avascular zone (green contour) on the averaged OCTA image, overlaid with the structural foveal avascular zone boundary (yellow contour). Foveal avascular zone enlargement was defined as the area difference between the functional and structural measurements, isolating the perfusion-related expansion.

STATISTICS

All statistical analyses were performed using R (version 4.4.3; R Foundation for Statistical Computing) and RStudio (version 2024.04.2; Posit) with the appropriate packages. Linear mixed-effects models were constructed with either posterior, peripheral, or total retinal nonperfusion (expressed as a percentage of the gradable retinal area) as the dependent variables. Because some participants contributed both eyes, all eligible eyes were included in the analysis, and subject was included as a random intercept to account for within-subject intereye correlation. This approach allowed simultaneous evaluation of eye-level predictors and shared patient-level systemic covariates without requiring selection of a single eye per patient. , The base fixed-effects set comprised diabetes duration, HbA1c, and hypertension, together with age and sex, which we considered clinically relevant confounders. ,, We evaluated the incremental contribution of the two biomarkers of interest, GPDd and FAZ enlargement, by fitting four nested models per region: Model 0 (m0): base covariates only; Model 1 (m1): m0 + GPDd; Model 2 (m2): m0 + FAZ enlargement; Model 3 (m3): m0 + GPDd + FAZ enlargement.

Model comparisons were conducted using maximum likelihood estimation, whereas the reported coefficients and 95% CIs were derived from restricted maximum likelihood estimates of the same models. To formally test whether adding GPDd and/or FAZ enlargement improved model fit, we performed incremental model comparisons using likelihood ratio tests (LRTs) and, to obtain small-sample–robust inference, parametric bootstrap LRTs with 2000 simulations and Kenward–Roger degrees-of-freedom correction. To complement these hypothesis tests, we also performed information-theoretic model selection, comparing small-sample corrected Akaike information criterion (AICc) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) across all candidate models (m0-m3). We report ΔAICc/ΔBIC values (relative to the best-fitting model) and model weights, which represent the relative support for each model being optimal among the candidates.

To facilitate interpretation, we report standardized fixed-effect coefficients ( β ) with 95% CIs from the fully adjusted models (m3). Here, β reflects the expected change in the outcome, expressed in SD units, associated with one-SD increase in the predictor (where SD refers to the sample SD of each variable). To facilitate interpretation in the original measurement units, we report unstandardized fixed-effect coefficients with 95% CIs from the fully adjusted models. Multicollinearity was assessed using generalized variance inflation factors. Model assumptions were evaluated by visually inspecting residual-vs-fitted plots and quantile–quantile plots, which indicated approximate normality and homoscedasticity. Two-sided P values <.05 were considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

A total of 159 eyes from 112 patients were included in the analysis. The mean age of the patients was 58.0 ± 13.9 years, and their demographics are summarized in Table 1 . Among the 159 eyes, 60 had no apparent DR, 25 had mild NPDR, 42 had moderate NPDR, 22 had severe NPDR, and 10 had proliferative DR. The mean letter score for BCVA was 85.40 ± 5.69. Detailed outline of overall angiographic ischemic and ocular parameters for the 159 eyes is summarized in Table 2 . The mean gradable retinal area was 296.82 ± 5.74 mm² in the posterior region, 399.55 ± 62.49 mm² in the peripheral region, and 696.36 ± 64.88 mm² in total. The corresponding mean percentages of retinal nonperfusion were 1.01 ± 2.54% in the posterior region, 1.74 ± 5.47% in the peripheral region, and 1.45 ± 3.96% overall.

TABLE 1

Demographic Characteristics of Study Subjects.

Patients N = 112
Age, y 58.0 ± 13.9
Sex (male) 52 (46.4)
DM duration, y 16.8 ± 13.1
HbA1c, % 7.2 ± 1.0
Hypertension 64 (57.1)
Ischemic heart disease 15 (13.4)
Renal impairment 15 (13.4)
Cerebrovascular disease 5 (4.5)

Age, DM duration, and HbA1c are presented as mean ± standard deviation. Categorical variables are presented as n (%).

DM = diabetes mellitus.

TABLE 2

Ocular Characteristics of Study Eyes.

Eyes N = 159
BCVA 85.40 ± 5.69
Functional FAZ area, mm 2 0.334 ± 0.138
Structural FAZ area, mm 2 0.274 ± 0.108
FAZ enlargement, mm 2 0.060 ± 0.080
GPDd, % 3.53 ± 2.51
Axial length, mm 23.98 ± 1.02
UWF-FA
Posterior nonperfusion, % 1.01 ± 2.54
Peripheral nonperfusion, % 1.74 ± 5.47
Total nonperfusion, % 1.45 ± 3.96
ICDR
No apparent DR 60 (37.7)
Mild NPDR 25 (15.7)
Moderate NPDR 42 (26.4)
Severe NPDR 22 (13.8)
PDR 10 (6.3)
Lens status
Phakia 128 (80.5)
Pseudophakia 31 (19.5)

Values are presented as mean ± standard deviation or number (%).

BCVA = best-corrected visual acuity (ETDRS letter score); DM noDR = diabetes without apparent retinopathy; FAZ = foveal avascular zone; GPDd = geometric perfusion deficits in the deep capillary plexus; ICDR = International Clinical Diabetic Retinopathy severity scale; NPDR = nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy; PDR = proliferative diabetic retinopathy; UWF-FA = ultrawidefield fluorescein angiography.

In the fully adjusted linear mixed-effects models, GPDd was significantly associated with posterior, peripheral, and total nonperfusion ( Table 3 : posterior β = 0.216, 95% CI, 0.095-0.338, P <.001; peripheral β = 0.216, 95% CI, 0.057-0.375, P =.008; total β = 0.237, 95% CI, 0.094-0.380, P =.001). For interpretability in the original measurement units, unstandardized fixed-effect coefficients with 95% CIs from the fully adjusted models are provided in Supplemental Table 1. FAZ enlargement was independently associated only with posterior nonperfusion ( β = 0.128, 95% CI, 0.025-0.232, P =.016) but not with peripheral or total nonperfusion ( P >.4). Among the clinical covariates, HbA1c was positively associated with posterior nonperfusion ( β = 0.240, P =.008), whereas diabetes duration was associated with both peripheral ( β = 0.214, P =.046) and total nonperfusion ( β = 0.214, P =.040). As a descriptive complement to the adjusted analyses, unadjusted associations between GPDd/FAZ enlargement and posterior, peripheral, and total retinal nonperfusion are provided in Supplemental Table 2.

TABLE 3

Standardized Associations of Geometric Perfusion Deficits in the Deep Capillary Plexus, Foveal Avascular Zone Enlargement, and Clinical Covariates with Posterior, Peripheral, and Total Nonperfusion.

Predictor Posterior Nonperfusion Peripheral Nonperfusion Total Nonperfusion
Standardized β Coefficients (95% CI) P Value Standardized β Coefficients (95% CI) P Value Standardized β Coefficients (95% CI) P Value
GPDd 0.216 (0.095-0.338) <.001 a 0.216 (0.057-0.375) .008 a 0.237 (0.094-0.380) .001 a
FAZ enlargement 0.128 (0.025-0.232) .016 a 0.039 (−0.101 to 0.179) .582 0.051 (−0.072 to 0.175) .414
HbA1c 0.240 (0.065-0.415) .008 a 0.124 (−0.079 to 0.328) .229 0.166 (−0.032 to 0.363) .102
Diabetes duration 0.145 (−0.036 to 0.325) .114 0.214 (0.004-0.424) .046 a 0.214 (0.010-0.428) .040 a
Age −0.145 (−0.334 to 0.044) .131 −0.130 (−0.350 to 0.089) .243 −0.147 (−0.360 to 0.067) .178
Sex 0.174 (−0.163 to 0.511) .308 0.145 (−0.246 to 0.537) .464 0.167 (−0.215 to 0.548) .389
Hypertension 0.211 (−0.151 to 0.573) .251 0.089 (−0.333 to 0.510) .678 0.142 (−0.268 to 0.548) .496
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Sep 20, 2026 | Posted by in OPHTHALMOLOGY | Comments Off on Macular Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography Biomarkers Predict Regional Retinal Nonperfusion Patterns on Ultrawidefield Angiography in Diabetes

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