Can a panel of clinical, laboratory, and pathological variables pinpoint patients with sinonasal polyposis at higher risk of recurrence after surgery?




Abstract


Purpose


Despite improved surgical and medical therapies, recurrence remains a significant problem in chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (CRSwNP), given a recently-reported long-term revision rate of 15%–20%.


In this prospective study uni- and multivariate statistical analyses were used to identify clinical, laboratory and conventional pathological parameters for pinpointing CRSwNP patients at higher risk of recurrence after functional endoscopic sinus surgery (FESS).


Materials and methods


The investigation concerned 179 consecutive patients undergoing FESS for CRSwNP, and 24 of them developed recurrent CRSwNP after FESS.


Results


A univariate statistical model disclosed significant associations between recurrent CRSwNP and serum basophil counts (p = 0.03) and percentages (p = 0.02). The recurrence rate was higher for patients with eosinophilic-type CRSwNP (p = 0.01). In a multivariate logistic model, eosinophilic-type CRSwNP (p = 0.025) and serum basophil percentage (statistical trend, p = 0.079) retained their independent prognostic significance in relation to CRSwNP recurrence. The discriminatory power of a three-variable panel (age < 65 years, serum basophil percentage and eosinophilic type) featured an AUC (ROC) of 0.7028 (an acceptable discriminatory power according to the Hosmer–Lemeshow scale).


Conclusions


Although our panel achieved an acceptable discriminatory power for CRSwNP recurrence, other parameters (including biomarkers) capable of predicting outcome and orienting postoperative treatment decisions need to be investigated in CRSwNP.



Introduction


Chronic rhinosinusitis (CRS) is one of the most prevalent chronic diseases worldwide, affecting one in seven American adults, and it is considered the second most common chronic condition in the United States . It is recognized that the incidence of CRS with nasal polyps (CRSwNP) is 0.86–1.00 patients per thousand population per year in males, and 0.39–0.45 in females .


One of the most significant problems related to CRSwNP is the relatively high rate of recurrence despite advances in surgical and medical therapies. Hopkins and coworkers found that 4% of operated CRSwNP patients had surgical revision for nasal or sinus symptoms within 12 months after primary surgery, and this percentage rose to 11% at 36 months. Masterson et al. described a similar revision rate of 12.3% in patients undergoing surgery for CRSwNP limited to the anterior ethmoid. A long-term revision rate of 15%–20% was recently reported .


Despite advances in the diagnosis (videorhinoscopy, nasal/paranasal imaging and laboratory investigations) and treatment of CRSwNP (including functional endoscopic sinus surgery [FESS]), the recurrence rate remains significant. There is an undeniable need for novel, more effective prognostic parameters enabling rhinologists to detect patients at higher risk of CRSwNP recurrence after sinonasal surgery. These parameters could make it easier to: (i) provide appropriate information to patients; (ii) adopt rational follow-up protocols; and (iii) provide dedicated postoperative medical treatments for patients at high risk of recurrence.


Using univariate and multivariate statistical analyses, the aim of the present prospective study was to identify a panel of clinical, laboratory and conventional pathological parameters capable of pinpointing patients with CRSwNP at higher risk of recurrence after FESS.





Materials and methods



Patients


The present investigation was approved in 2009 by our Section’s in-house ethical committee. The study was carried out in accordance with the principles of the Helsinki Declaration.


Adult patients with evidence of polyposis involving at least two recesses without extending to the nasal cavity (multiple polyps occupying the middle meatus, grade 2), or polyps extending beyond the middle meatus (grade 3) , were first treated medically for 3 months with local mometasone furoate 200 μg daily (100 μg/nostril), the dosage recommended by Stjarne et al. , or with fluticasone furoate 110 μg daily (55 μg/nostril), and oral therapy with methylprednisolone (32 mg daily on days 1–5, then 16 mg daily on days 6–10, then 8 mg daily on days 11–20), as suggested by Van Zele et al. . If this medical therapy failed, patients underwent FESS (ethmoidectomy, middle antrostomy, sphenoidectomy and/or frontal sinusotomy, depending on the location of the polyps), with or without septoplasty/turbinoplasty, under general anesthesia. Patients with polyps confined to only one recess (grade 1) were not treated surgically.


Between January 2011 and December 2014, 210 patients underwent FESS for CRSwNP, performed by the same surgeon (G.B.). Exclusion criteria were a postoperative follow-up shorter than 6 months and a diagnosis of eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangitis (EGPA) (formerly Churg-Strauss syndrome), which left 179 consecutive patients eligible, who were enrolled in the present study.


For all patients, the preoperative diagnostic work-up included nasal endoscopy (with rigid 0° and 30° [Ø 4 mm] optical instruments), nasal cytology, serum eosinophil and basophil counts, assays of total and specific serum IgE for common airborne allergens, serum eosinophil cationic protein (ECP) levels, and paranasal high-resolution computerized tomography (CT). Asthmatic patients underwent spirometry with methacholine challenge.


After surgery, patients performed nasal irrigations with isotonic saline solution twice a day (using 20 ml per irrigation) and local nasal therapy with mometasone furoate 200 μg daily (100 μg/nostril), using the dosage recommended by Stjarne et al. , or fluticasone furoate 110 μg daily (55 μg/nostril). All laboratory tests were performed before surgery, at least 3 months after withdrawing oral steroids, and at least 1 month after stopping nasal steroid treatment.


During periods of pollination, patients with a known allergy to pollen were treated with antihistamines. Patients with asthma received appropriate therapy.



Clinical history and features


We identified patients with a history of aspirin intolerance. The American Rheumatism Association criteria, revised in 2012 by the International Chapel Hill Consensus Conference Nomenclature of Vasculitides , were considered for the diagnosis of EGPA. Cases with a clinical history of diabetes or endoscopic evidence of pharyngo-laryngeal inflammation due to gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) were also recorded.



Laboratory features: serum eosinophil and basophil counts, serum total and specific IgE assay, serum ECP


All patients had 3 blood samples taken 12 months and 6 months before surgery, and on the day of FESS to obtain their eosinophil and basophil counts. Absolute values and percentages were recorded, and the means and standard deviations are reported. We also measured serum total IgE and specific IgE for dermatophagoides pteronyssinus and farinae, birch pollen, pellitory, grass mix, cat and dog dander, alternaria alternata, aspergillus fumigatus, and common ragweed.


The normal reference range for serum ECP is between 2.3 and 16 μg/L (according to the Laborationslista, Uppsala University Hospital, Art. Nr. 40284 Sj74a, April 22, 2008 ). For the purposes of the present study, a serum ECP concentration > 16 μg/L was considered significant.


All assays were performed at the same laboratory (the EIA Unit, Laboratory Medicine Service, Padova General Hospital).



Histopathological features: eosinophil component in polyps


Three high-power fields (400 × magnification) from each surgical specimen were examined to quantify the eosinophil component, and two patterns of polyposis were recognized: (i) polyposis rich in eosinophils (≥ 10 eosinophils per field); and (ii) polyposis poor in eosinophils (< 10 eosinophils per field).



Follow-up


Patients underwent postoperative nasal endoscopy under topical anesthesia (lidocaine 20 mg/ml plus xylometazoline 1 mg/ml; 1:1 ratio). Endoscopic follow-ups were performed using rigid 0° and 30° (Ø 4 mm) instruments and scheduled 3, 6, 12, 24, and 36 months after surgery. We considered patients with recurrences as those with endoscopic evidence of at least grade I polyposis.



Statistical analysis


Fisher’s exact test was used to investigate the association between sinonasal polyp recurrences and clinical, laboratory and pathological variables in a univariate statistical setting. A p-value < 0.05 was considered significant, while values in the range of 0.10 > p ≥ 0.05 were assumed to indicate a statistical trend.


A multivariate logistic model was developed, adding the clinical, laboratory and pathological parameters for which Fisher’s exact test disclosed a p value < 0.20. The results were expressed as odds ratios (ORs); p values and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were also calculated. During the analysis, the model was checked for multicollinearity with a variance inflation factor test.


In accordance with Steyerberg et al. , the quality of the model was assessed by calibration. Applying the Hosmer and Lemeshow test, a non-significant result (p > 0.05) meant that the model fitted the data well. The effectiveness of the discrimination was assessed on the scale proposed by Hosmer and Lemeshow , where: an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC [ROC]) 0.5 = no discrimination; AUC (ROC) between 0.7 and 0.8 = acceptable discrimination; AUC (ROC) between 0.8 and 0.9 = excellent discrimination; AUC (ROC) beyond 0.90 = outstanding discrimination. Additional statistics derived from the model (sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive accuracy, negative predictive accuracy, and accuracy) were also calculated.


The STATA™ statistical package 8.1 (Stata Corp, College Station, TX, USA) was used for all analyses.





Materials and methods



Patients


The present investigation was approved in 2009 by our Section’s in-house ethical committee. The study was carried out in accordance with the principles of the Helsinki Declaration.


Adult patients with evidence of polyposis involving at least two recesses without extending to the nasal cavity (multiple polyps occupying the middle meatus, grade 2), or polyps extending beyond the middle meatus (grade 3) , were first treated medically for 3 months with local mometasone furoate 200 μg daily (100 μg/nostril), the dosage recommended by Stjarne et al. , or with fluticasone furoate 110 μg daily (55 μg/nostril), and oral therapy with methylprednisolone (32 mg daily on days 1–5, then 16 mg daily on days 6–10, then 8 mg daily on days 11–20), as suggested by Van Zele et al. . If this medical therapy failed, patients underwent FESS (ethmoidectomy, middle antrostomy, sphenoidectomy and/or frontal sinusotomy, depending on the location of the polyps), with or without septoplasty/turbinoplasty, under general anesthesia. Patients with polyps confined to only one recess (grade 1) were not treated surgically.


Between January 2011 and December 2014, 210 patients underwent FESS for CRSwNP, performed by the same surgeon (G.B.). Exclusion criteria were a postoperative follow-up shorter than 6 months and a diagnosis of eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangitis (EGPA) (formerly Churg-Strauss syndrome), which left 179 consecutive patients eligible, who were enrolled in the present study.


For all patients, the preoperative diagnostic work-up included nasal endoscopy (with rigid 0° and 30° [Ø 4 mm] optical instruments), nasal cytology, serum eosinophil and basophil counts, assays of total and specific serum IgE for common airborne allergens, serum eosinophil cationic protein (ECP) levels, and paranasal high-resolution computerized tomography (CT). Asthmatic patients underwent spirometry with methacholine challenge.


After surgery, patients performed nasal irrigations with isotonic saline solution twice a day (using 20 ml per irrigation) and local nasal therapy with mometasone furoate 200 μg daily (100 μg/nostril), using the dosage recommended by Stjarne et al. , or fluticasone furoate 110 μg daily (55 μg/nostril). All laboratory tests were performed before surgery, at least 3 months after withdrawing oral steroids, and at least 1 month after stopping nasal steroid treatment.


During periods of pollination, patients with a known allergy to pollen were treated with antihistamines. Patients with asthma received appropriate therapy.



Clinical history and features


We identified patients with a history of aspirin intolerance. The American Rheumatism Association criteria, revised in 2012 by the International Chapel Hill Consensus Conference Nomenclature of Vasculitides , were considered for the diagnosis of EGPA. Cases with a clinical history of diabetes or endoscopic evidence of pharyngo-laryngeal inflammation due to gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) were also recorded.



Laboratory features: serum eosinophil and basophil counts, serum total and specific IgE assay, serum ECP


All patients had 3 blood samples taken 12 months and 6 months before surgery, and on the day of FESS to obtain their eosinophil and basophil counts. Absolute values and percentages were recorded, and the means and standard deviations are reported. We also measured serum total IgE and specific IgE for dermatophagoides pteronyssinus and farinae, birch pollen, pellitory, grass mix, cat and dog dander, alternaria alternata, aspergillus fumigatus, and common ragweed.


The normal reference range for serum ECP is between 2.3 and 16 μg/L (according to the Laborationslista, Uppsala University Hospital, Art. Nr. 40284 Sj74a, April 22, 2008 ). For the purposes of the present study, a serum ECP concentration > 16 μg/L was considered significant.


All assays were performed at the same laboratory (the EIA Unit, Laboratory Medicine Service, Padova General Hospital).



Histopathological features: eosinophil component in polyps


Three high-power fields (400 × magnification) from each surgical specimen were examined to quantify the eosinophil component, and two patterns of polyposis were recognized: (i) polyposis rich in eosinophils (≥ 10 eosinophils per field); and (ii) polyposis poor in eosinophils (< 10 eosinophils per field).



Follow-up


Patients underwent postoperative nasal endoscopy under topical anesthesia (lidocaine 20 mg/ml plus xylometazoline 1 mg/ml; 1:1 ratio). Endoscopic follow-ups were performed using rigid 0° and 30° (Ø 4 mm) instruments and scheduled 3, 6, 12, 24, and 36 months after surgery. We considered patients with recurrences as those with endoscopic evidence of at least grade I polyposis.



Statistical analysis


Fisher’s exact test was used to investigate the association between sinonasal polyp recurrences and clinical, laboratory and pathological variables in a univariate statistical setting. A p-value < 0.05 was considered significant, while values in the range of 0.10 > p ≥ 0.05 were assumed to indicate a statistical trend.


A multivariate logistic model was developed, adding the clinical, laboratory and pathological parameters for which Fisher’s exact test disclosed a p value < 0.20. The results were expressed as odds ratios (ORs); p values and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were also calculated. During the analysis, the model was checked for multicollinearity with a variance inflation factor test.


In accordance with Steyerberg et al. , the quality of the model was assessed by calibration. Applying the Hosmer and Lemeshow test, a non-significant result (p > 0.05) meant that the model fitted the data well. The effectiveness of the discrimination was assessed on the scale proposed by Hosmer and Lemeshow , where: an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC [ROC]) 0.5 = no discrimination; AUC (ROC) between 0.7 and 0.8 = acceptable discrimination; AUC (ROC) between 0.8 and 0.9 = excellent discrimination; AUC (ROC) beyond 0.90 = outstanding discrimination. Additional statistics derived from the model (sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive accuracy, negative predictive accuracy, and accuracy) were also calculated.


The STATA™ statistical package 8.1 (Stata Corp, College Station, TX, USA) was used for all analyses.

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Aug 23, 2017 | Posted by in OTOLARYNGOLOGY | Comments Off on Can a panel of clinical, laboratory, and pathological variables pinpoint patients with sinonasal polyposis at higher risk of recurrence after surgery?

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