Associations Between Routine Vaccinations and the Risk of New-Onset Idiopathic Uveitis

Highlights

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    Vaccinated patients have lower risk of new-onset idiopathic uveitis.

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    The varicella vaccine provided the highest risk reduction of tested vaccines.

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    Anterior uveitis was the predominant risk-reduced subtype of new-onset uveitis.

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    Vaccines may confer an immunologic profile protective against ocular inflammation.

Objective

To evaluate the association between vaccination and the risk of new-onset idiopathic uveitis (NIU).

Design

Retrospective cohort study of aggregated electronic health records from multiple health systems across the United States.

Subjects

Subjects who received the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), human papillomavirus (HPV), varicella, recombinant herpes zoster, or live herpes zoster vaccinations from 2006 to 2025 and propensity-score matched controls.

Intervention

Vaccines against COVID-19, HPV, varicella, recombinant herpes zoster, or live herpes zoster.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcome was the incidence of NIU at 3, 6, and 12 months following vaccination. Vaccinated patients were compared with matched controls who did not receive the respective vaccines. Analyses were repeated, excluding patients with previous diagnosis of the respective viral infection. Risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for overall NIU and constituent subtypes (anterior, intermediate, posterior, and panuveitis).

Results

All tested vaccinations were associated with reduced risk of NIU through 12 months compared with matched controls. Relative risk reductions were 65% for COVID-19 (RR, 0.35; CI, 0.33-0.37), 56% for HPV (RR, 0.44; CI, 0.35-0.54), 71% for varicella (RR, 0.29; CI, 0.25-0.33), 68% for live zoster (RR, 0.32; CI, 0.23-0.43), and 69% for recombinant zoster vaccination (RR, 0.31; CI, 0.26-0.37). Similar reductions were observed after excluding patients with prior diagnoses of the respective viral infections.

Conclusions

Vaccination was associated with a lower risk of idiopathic uveitis, representing the complex interplay between immune modulation and the development of NIU.

INTRODUCTION

I diopathic uveitis comprises a heterogeneous group of intraocular inflammatory diseases that are often immune-mediated and can lead to significant visual morbidity. Although the precise triggers remain unclear in many cases, systemic immune activation following viral infections is recognized as a potential contributor to the onset or exacerbation of ocular inflammation through mechanisms such as molecular mimicry, bystander activation, and disruption of ocular immune privilege. ,, Viral infections can also compromise the blood-retina barrier and alter local immune regulation, reducing tolerance to self-antigens and promoting a proinflammatory milieu.

Vaccination is a cornerstone of infectious disease prevention, primarily designed to elicit protective immunity against specific pathogens. While some studies have shown that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), ,,,, human papillomavirus (HPV), ,, and varicella ,,, vaccines are not associated with a significantly reduced incidence of uveitis in the general population, most have focused on adverse events or the risk of recurrence in individuals with a prior history of uveitis. Few investigations have explored whether vaccinated individuals may have a reduced risk of developing new-onset noninfectious uveitis, and they report differing results. Indeed, the study of uveitis following HPV, varicella, and zoster vaccination primarily relies on case reports. ,, More recently, the influence of COVID-19 vaccination on the development of uveitis has been explored with mixed results. , The potential protective benefit of vaccinations may stem from either a direct immunomodulatory effect or the prevention of systemic viral infections that could otherwise trigger immune dysregulation. By limiting exposure to immunogenic viral antigens, vaccines may indirectly reduce the risk of immune-mediated ocular inflammation.

In this study, we analyzed the incidence of idiopathic uveitis in a large, real-world cohort to explore whether vaccination against COVID-19, HPV, or varicella zoster virus, including both the primary varicella vaccine and the recombinant or inactivated herpes zoster vaccines, is associated with a lower risk of developing new-onset idiopathic uveitis (NIU) compared to unvaccinated individuals.

METHODS

This retrospective study utilized the US Collaborative Network in the TriNetX platform. This network contains deidentified EHR data of over 120 million patients from over 60 healthcare organizations. The platform includes standardized EHR data using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes with records spanning from 2006 to 2025. This study followed the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology reporting guidelines. The data reviewed is a secondary analysis of existing data, does not involve intervention or interaction with human subjects, and is deidentified per the deidentification standard defined in Section §164.514(a) of the HIPAA Privacy Rule. The process by which the data is deidentified is attested to through a formal determination by a qualified expert as defined in Section §164.514(b)(1) of the HIPAA Privacy Rule. This formal determination, updated in December 2020, replaces the previous waiver granted by the Western Institutional Review Board. This study adhered to the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki.

To assess associations between vaccination and NIU, a cohort of patients with an encounter procedure code for each single respective vaccination was compared to a control cohort without an encounter procedure code of the respective vaccination. This study utilized International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10), Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC), Vaccine Administered (CVX), RxNorm, and Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes. Included vaccinations included COVID-19 (CVX 213, CPT 91301-91309, CPT 91311-91322), HPV (CVX 137, RxNorm 798262, 798264, 798266, 798268, 1596930-1596934), Varicella (CVX 21, CPT 90716), Recombinant Herpes Zoster (CPT 90750), and Live Herpes Zoster (CPT 90736). Patients diagnosed with known infectious or noninfectious causes of uveitis prior to the index date and those diagnosed with infectious uveitis at any time were excluded. Exclusion criteria were based on prior large-scale EHR research on uveitis, with additional inflammatory conditions addressed through propensity score matching (PSM). As HPV is not regularly tested, we utilized several ICD-10 codes that capture disease attributed to HPVs. All codes utilized can be found in Table S1. All patients required at least two ophthalmology encounters and one general healthcare encounter at least 3 months prior to their ophthalmology encounters to adjust for bias, which may occur from patients not regularly following with a contributing institution.

Our primary outcomes included incidence of idiopathic uveitis at 3, 6, and 12 months after the respective vaccination code in patients without history of viral disease. A composite NIU outcome was also utilized to capture subgroups including anterior uveitis (H20.00-2, H20.04, H20.1, H20.81, and H20.9), intermediate uveitis (H30.2), posterior uveitis (H30.0, H30.1, H30.89, H30.9, H30.14, and H35.06) and panuveitis (H20.82, H30.81, and H44.11). Patients with history of any NIU subgroup before the index date were excluded for that component of the analysis. A secondary analysis was conducted to assess risk of NIU, excluding history of viral disease.

To minimize confounding, PSM was performed using the TriNetX analytic feature with greedy 1:1 matching without replacement and a caliper of 0.25 standard deviation (SD). Matching was conducted based on patient age at index, sex, race, ethnicity, nicotine dependence, alcohol dependence, obesity, vitamin D deficiency, asthma, ankylosing spondylitis, systemic corticosteroid use, and problems related to education, literacy, housing, and economic circumstances. Covariate balance between the matched cohorts was assessed using absolute standardized differences (std. diff.), where values greater than 0.10 indicated imbalance. All statistical analyses were performed through the TriNetX platform. Descriptive statistics are presented as mean ± SD or as count (%). Risk ratios (RR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were reported. To account for multiple statistical comparisons, RRs were considered significant if their CIs fell below 0.90 or above 1.10. Forest plots were generated using R statistical computing software (Version 4.4.1, R Core Team 2024).

RESULTS

covid-19 vaccination and noninfectious uveitis

Prior to PSM, the COVID-19 vaccine cohort consisted of 688,814 patients, and the control cohort consisted of 1543,715 patients (Table S2). Following PSM, each cohort consisted of 595,270 patients. The mean age ± SD in years was 53.6 ± 21.4 for the COVID-19 vaccine cohort and 53.5 ± 21.2 for the control cohort. There were no significant differences between the cohorts after PSM ( Table 1 ).

TABLE 1

Demographic and Clinical Information of Patients Receiving a Vaccination for COVID-19, HPV, or Varicella After Propensity Score Matching

COVID-19 HPV Varicella
Vaccination
( n = 595,270)
Control
( n = 595,270)
Std. Diff. Vaccination
( n = 80,186)
Control
( n = 80,186)
Std. Diff. Vaccination
( n = 191,886)
Control
( n = 191,886)
Std. Diff.
Age, y 53.6 ± 21.4 53.5 ± 21.2 0.004 15.7 ± 9.0 15.4 ± 10.2 0.037 34.1 ± 30.6 35.4 ± 29.5 0.044
Female sex 351,357 (59.0%) 353,592 (59.4%) 0.008 48,143 (60.0%) 49,537 (61.8%) 0.036 111,858 (58.3%) 116,950 (60.9%) 0.054
Race
White 402,311 (67.5%) 403,038 (67.7%) 0.003 37,214 (46.4%) 38,266 (47.7%) 0.026 112,294 (58.5%) 108,609 (56.6%) 0.039
Black 83,000 (13.9%) 81,286 (13.7%) 0.008 22,765 (28.4%) 19,701 (24.6%) 0.087 36,674 (19.1%) 42,176 (22.0%) 0.071
Asian 34,827 (5.9%) 36,256 (6.1%) 0.010 5226 (6.5%) 6184 (7.7%) 0.046 12,038 (6.3%) 12,749 (6.6%) 0.015
Hispanic or Latino Ethnicity 52,394 (8.8%) 52,592 (8.8%) 0.001 15,757 (19.7%) 15,780 (19.7%) 0.001 25,836 (13.5%) 28,042 (14.6%) 0.033
Medical history
Alcohol dependence 8438 (1.4%) 8168 (1.4%) 0.004 227 (0.3%) 208 (0.3%) 0.005 1373 (0.7%) 1379 (0.7%) <0.001
Nicotine dependence 49,485 (8.3%) 48,757 (8.2%) 0.004 1694 (2.1%) 1755 (2.2%) 0.005 9167 (4.8%) 9293 (4.8%) 0.003
Overweight or obese 108,835 (18.3%) 112,639 (18.9%) 0.016 14,674 (18.3%) 13,874 (17.3%) 0.026 21,210 (11.1%) 23,532 (12.3%) 0.038
Vitamin D deficiency 73,466 (12.3%) 75,157 (12.6%) 0.009 5370 (6.7%) 5573 (7.0%) 0.010 16,131 (8.4%) 19,367 (10.1%) 0.058
Asthma 69,006 (11.6%) 70,406 (11.8%) 0.011 16,175 (20.2%) 17,013 (21.2%) 0.026 17,984 (9.4%) 21,641 (11.3%) 0.063
Ankylosing spondylitis 904 (0.2%) 778 (0.1%) 0.006 21 (0.0%) 26 (0.0%) 0.004 132 (0.1%) 102 (0.1%) 0.006
Systemic corticosteroid use 324,651 (54.5%) 320,550 (53.8%) 0.014 37,387 (46.6%) 36,799 (45.9%) 0.015 70,969 (37.0%) 74,697 (38.9%) 0.040
Socioeconomic factors
Problems related to education and literacy 1698 (0.3%) 1534 (0.3%) 0.005 1297 (1.6%) 1299 (1.6%) <0.001 435 (0.2%) 488 (0.3%) 0.006
Problems related to housing and economic circumstances 4264 (0.9%) 4313 (0.8%) 0.001 985 (1.2%) 1130 (1.4%) 0.016 1034 (0.5%) 876 (0.5%) 0.012

Absolute standardized difference (std. diff.) was used to evaluate balance in covariates between cohorts. Std. diff. >0.1 indicated imbalance after matching.

COVID-19 = coronavirus disease 2019; HPV = human papillomavirus; RF = rheumatoid factor; SD = standard deviation.

These cohorts were then assessed for risk of NIU at 3-, 6-, and 12-month postvaccination. Patients in the vaccination cohort had a relative reduction in risk of NIU of 82% at 3 months (RR = 0.18; CI: 0.16-0.2), 75% at 6 months (RR = 0.25; CI: 0.23-0.27), and 65% at 12 months (RR = 0.35; CI: 0.33-0.37) compared to those in the control cohort. The complete subgroup analysis is available in Figure 1 . This analysis was repeated, excluding those with prior diagnosis of COVID-19. Without history of viral diagnosis of COVID-19, patients in the vaccination had a relative reduction in risk of NIU of 82% at 3 months (RR = 0.18; CI: 0.15-0.2), 76% at 6 months (RR = 0.24; CI: 0.21-0.26), and 65% at 12 months (RR = 0.35; CI: 0.33-0.37) compared to the control cohort. Complete subgroup analysis for this secondary outcome is available in Figure S1.

FIGURE 1

Forest plot comparing risk ratios (RR) of patients undergoing COVID-19 vaccination compared to a matched control at 3-, 6-, and 12-month postvaccination. For each outcome, the center point represents the RR point estimate and the lines represent the upper and lower limits of the 95% confidence interval (CI). COVID-19 = coronavirus disease 2019; NIU = noninfectious uveitis.

hpv vaccination and noninfectious uveitis

Prior to PSM, the HPV vaccine cohort consisted of 80,520 patients, and the control cohort consisted of 2141,957 patients (Table S2). Following PSM, each cohort consisted of 80,186 patients. The mean age ± SD in years was 15.7 ± 9.0 for the HPV vaccine cohort and 15.4 ± 10.2 for the control cohort. There were no significant differences between the cohorts after PSM ( Table 1 ).

These cohorts were assessed for risk of NIU at 3-, 6-, and 12-month postvaccination. Patients in the vaccination cohort had a relative reduction in risk of NIU of 82% at 3 months (RR = 0.18; CI: 0.13-0.27), 73% at 6 months (RR = 0.27; CI: 0.2-0.36), and 56% at 12 months (RR = 0.44; CI: 0.35-0.54) compared to those in the control cohort. The complete subgroup analysis is available in Figure 2 . This analysis was repeated, excluding those with prior diagnosis of HPVs. Without history of viral diagnosis of HPV, patients in the vaccination cohort had a relative reduction in risk of NIU of 82% at 3 months (RR = 0.18; CI: 0.12-0.27), 76% at 6 months (RR = 0.24; CI: 0.18-0.33), and 61% at 12 months (RR = 0.39; CI: 0.31-0.49) compared to the control cohort. Complete subgroup analysis for this secondary outcome is available in Figure S2.

FIGURE 2

Forest plot comparing risk ratios (RR) of patients undergoing HPV vaccination compared to a matched control at 3-, 6-, and 12-month postvaccination. For each outcome, the center point represents the RR point estimate and the lines represent the upper and lower limits of the 95% confidence interval (CI). RR and CIs were calculated when available outcomes had numbers greater than 10. HPV = human papillomavirus; NA = not available; NIU = noninfectious uveitis.

Sep 19, 2026 | Posted by in OPHTHALMOLOGY | Comments Off on Associations Between Routine Vaccinations and the Risk of New-Onset Idiopathic Uveitis

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